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Brohm's Louisville Record @ Home and Away From Home

This is not criticism. Just plain facts:

Brohm's Louisville Record playing at HOME: 9-1 (Only loss was Kentucky)

Brohm's Louisville Record playing away from home: 4-4 (Losses were to Pitt, Florida State, Southern Cal, Notre Dame)

This season, the Cards have 3 Home and 5 Away games remaining. Plus undoubtedly 1 Bowl game to be played AWAY.

The rest here is speculation and commentary:

Using just past as prologue, based solely on how they play based on venue, it would seem the Cards should be expected to win 2 of the 3 remaining Home games, and 3 of the "5+Bowl" Away games.

Final record, including Bowl game will likely be 8-5. It's a reasonable assumption that Cards will not play in the ACC Champ game.

The Cards should have beaten Notre Dame on Saturday, and Kentucky last season.

Tyler Shough is the real deal.

FOOTBALL PFF RECAP - Notre Dame

OFFENSE

Ahmari Huggins Bruce - 78.5
Isaac Brown - 73.7
Tyler Shough - 72.4
Jacorey Brooks - 68.7
Rasheed Miller - 67.0
Caullin Lacy - 66.8
Duane Martin - 66.3
Mark Redman - 63.0
Jonathan Mendoza - 62.3
Jamari Johnson - 62.0
Donald Chaney Jr - 61.2
Keyjuan Brown - 59.5
Monroe Mills - 56.6
Chris Bell - 55.9
Michael Gonzalez - 55.2
Cataurus Hicks - 55.1
Austin Collins - 49.2
Pete Nygra - 48.8
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The SEC and Big Ten want 4 Auto Bids

This is what I brought up the other day when I said Notre Dame really has no benefit to take less money to join the ACC.

I’ve said this is going to be their next move, they’re going to make it where they own the playoff and have much more money.

That would mean 8 SEC & Big Ten teams get a bid. Leaving 4 spots. Would think then the ACC and Big 12 champ would be an auto bid. I’m not sure about the G4 in this case. Would be much harder for the ACC to get 2 bids.

And for those to say what can we do to fight it? There’s nothing we can do, the SEC and Big Ten have all the power. This is why Clemson and FSU are fighting to leave. It’s why Notre Dame holds a bigger bargaining chip with our league, the brands sadly hold some weight to fans because they wouldn’t consider a playoff legit if a few certain brands are left out.

A super Big 12 is the life raft. We need to be ready.

Week 5 ACC PIC UM winner is....

mayoman with tiebreaker over Rollem....Bragging rights to him, with Rollem in a solid tie, with mayoman only one to pic ND. Congrats and brag away.

A sincere TY to all of the participants and better fortune in week 6.

My choker award goes to the Cards this week. Shoulda, coulda, beat the Irish but??????

Biggest surprise score was the SMU massacre of FSU.

Breakdown:

rollem--------8 of 9
*mayoman---8 of 9 Won tiebreaker as only one to pic ND
Pushupman--7 of 9
Guardman---7 of 9
TPA cardmn-7 of 9
sccard-------7 of 9
BoonCouCd-7 of 9
CardsFirst---7 of 9
CRTW--------7 of 9
cocoa--------6 of 9
Koeterback--6 of 9
ajg------------6 of 9
Wahoo-------6 of 9
cardrock-----5 of 9
wreckcard---5 of 9
TrealVille----5 of 9

Biggest upset was Louisiana of WF.
Best games were BC over WKU and Duke over UNC both 21-20 scores.

ND postmortem

Unfortunately I haven't been privy to rewatching the game, but I came away with some overall impressions that were positive as it applies to the rest of the season:

Wide receiver and receiver corps can officially be stamped as preseason question mark to an in season weapon. Lacy makes a huge difference and hopefully he can take on more load; the benefactor of his presence might be Chris Bell more than Brooks because Bell really is a third receiver and limited in his routes; on the crossing routes and go routes very good, on routes that require him to be quick out of breaks, not really his skill set. I come away from every game thinking the tight ends are underused for their skill; Jamari Johnson just looks like he is out of central casting as a pro tight end. All of that with Shough's abilities leaves me really excited for the rest of the year; he made some great throws against the best secondary we'll see this year.

Running back is a mixed bag but Isaac Brown just keeps showing us something different; KBrown is a good combination of physical and burst. Chaney leaves me a little vexed because he doesn't have their gears.

All of that said, the right side of our Offensive line (and Nygra at center) is a noticeable dropoff from last year. We got a little more on the ground than I thought we'd have, but Shough is taking too many hits.

...and defensively the bad is the secondary and that rates as a shock for me. It looks like Hutchinson and Neal are pared as safeties when they are in the game and we got caught with a really good route concept on the TD in the 1st quarter and that was the personnel on for the breakdown against Ga Tech. It looked like it was Hutchinson in the hole as a deep safety in three deep coverage and they flooded the backside with go routes and deep posts freeing up the seam route; quality scouting by Notre Dame but a breakdown nonetheless because Hutchinson needed more depth. Hutchinson made a great game saving tackle on Notre Dame's last touchdown only to have them score on the screen pass. Griffin and McDonald look like the better tackling group. Corner has become a borderline mess. As it applies to SMU and into the Miami game that is a very serious concern.

...but man did the linebackers look great Saturday. The Stanquan Clark I have been lauding as a potential all-ACC caliber LB showed up Saturday and so did Antonio Watts. And so by the way did Brock Travelsted; that was a huge FG and a huge lift at a critical point in the game.

Week 5 ACC PIC UM winner is......

mayoman with tiebreaker over Rollem.. Bragging rights to him, with Rollem in a solid tie, with mayoman only one to pic ND. Congrats and brag away.

A sincere TY to all of the participants and better fortune in week 6.

My choker award goes to the Cards this week. Shoulda, coulda, beat the Irish but??????

Biggest surprise score was the SMU massacre of FSU.

Breakdown:

rollem--------8 of 9
*mayoman---8 of 9 Won tiebreaker as only one to pic ND
Pushupman--7 of 9
Guardman---7 of 9
TPA cardmn-7 of 9
sccard-------7 of 9
BoonCouCd-7 of 9
CardsFirst---7 of 9
CRTW--------7 of 9
cocoa--------6 of 9
Koeterback--6 of 9
ajg------------6 of 9
Wahoo-------6 of 9
cardrock-----5 of 9
wreckcard---5 of 9
TrealVille----5 of 9

Biggest upset was Louisiana of WF.
Best games were BC over WKU and Duke over UNC both 21-20 scores.
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Cards getting 6 points to ND

Well there ya go. That daunting ND offense a TD favorite over the Cards. It's ridiculous.

Regardless of what happens in this game, no way should ND be -6 against Louisville. Almost every metric points to a 1 to 3 point spread with the home field advantage being ND's best metric.

But the illusion of ND football apparently has been inflicted on Vegas.

Tell me, who is the Irish's likely NFL offensive players? Leonard? Please. What about at WR and RB? What is it exactly that keeps people believing this a top 16 team, because results on the field apparently don't matter?

I know they have many 4 and 5 star dudes, but I ask again, what exactly about them makes its opponents fearful? Northern Illinois, the mighty MAC team who got ranked for beating ND wasn't scared. I mean ND isn't Buffalo, who took down Northern Illinois Saturday.

Yes, Louisville has played only one real team so far, but they covered the 10.5 spread in that win over GT. ND does not have the offense or QB as good as GT.

Defenders of ND will talk about the defense, but isn't the Cards defense just as strong and maybe even better? Which defense in this game will have its hands more full with the offense?

I was thinking the line should be -1.5 either way. ND has the home field advantage as well as the striped shirts advantage. They don't have the better talent advantage in my opinion.

But we'll see. The line should move down by gameday.
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