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Week 6 ACC PIC UM....for bragging rlghts....still time to get pics in folks!

BC @ UVA - Eagles roost over Cavs and continue winning ways
Mia @ Cal - Closer than one might think but Canes cane the Bears by double digits
CU @ FSU - Noles are desperate but Tigers prevail with 4th Qtr route
Duk @ GT - Toss up game maybe but Tech wrecks the Pukies unbeaten streak
*SMU @ Cards - Tiebreaker game - this is one the Cards have to have and will tame the Mustangs in a shootout
Pitt @ UNC - Will the real UNC show up to battle the Panthers?...uh nope, they have no D to speak of
WF @ NCSt - Pack is back and whoop the Deacs at home by alot
VT @ Stfd - My mild upset pic of the week as the Cardinal hook the Hokies
Cuse
@ UNLV - The Orange could lose this game in an upset as the Rebels have alot to prove...will not happen though

Cards 38 - 34

Some interesting match ups this week. so good fortune to you and get to pic n

ACC - By the Numbers

Here are the September numbers for all ACC teams:

For those that don't know what the "numbers" I talk about are, they are......
The Sum of two numerical analyses being 1) the number of points, on average, scored "above" what their opponent has given up per game this year, and 2) the number of points, on average, their defense has held their opponent "below" what they have scored per game this year. The team "numbers" for each team are listed in parentheses below.

1. Miami (+25.2)
2. Louisville (+22.1)
3. Virginia Tech (+16.4)
4. Clemson (+15.8)
5. SMU (+14.3)
6. Syracuse (+10.0)
7. Duke (+9.7)
8. UNC (+9.0)
9. Virginia (+8.3)
10. Boston College (+8.0)
11. Pitt (+7.9)
12tie California (+7.3)
NC State (+7.3)
14. Ga Tech (+7.2)
15. Wake Forest (+6.3)
16. FSU (+5.4)
17. Stanford (+1.2)

A couple of thoughts about these numbers:

  • It's early October, meaning the sample size is still too small and, as a result, some teams are over or under rated due to schedule strength
  • Stabilization will quickly occur in a couple more weeks after all teams have some conf/non-conf and home/away games w a more similar schedule strength
  • Of the teams above, Duke and UNC are likely to drop a bit, and Ga Tech will likely rise a bit.
  • Boston College played without their QB (who is vital to them) last week; their number without him last week was a +1, while with him they averaged +10.3. He is supposed to return to the lineup this week.
Here are the predicted results based solely on the Numbers.

Louisville over SMU 35-28
Virginia over BC 24-22 (careful w this one, w BC QB back, result would flip)
Pitt over UNC 39-37
NC St over Wake 36-32
Va Tech over Stanford 31-20
Clemson over FSU 35-21
Duke over GTech 24-23 (careful on Duke due to their very weak schedule to date)
Miami over CAL 31-14

FOOTBALL Two links from the national staff

ACC Spotlight: September grades for each program


How the best 2024 transfer classes are faring so far this season​


33 Days

Until the Basketball Cards begin the Pat Kelsey era with a home game against Morehead State.

Walk on guard and lone holdover from last year’s team, Aidan McCool will wear #33 for us this year.

Brohm Wants To Fix The Small Things

"There's all kinds of things to clean up, but you're going to have that now that we're facing really good football teams every week," Brohm said. "We just have to find a way to be sharper, win the turnover battle, eliminate big plays, execute in critical and timely situations, have a good plan for that as well, and be better. I just think it's a lot of small things that add up when you're facing good teams."


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FOOTBALL Jeff Brohm previews SMU

Opening Statement)

“We're looking forward to getting back to work this week and picking the pieces back up after a tough loss.”



(On SMU)

“We have a really good opponent coming in. SMU’s been playing as good as anyone in the country. They have a really good offense and have settled on a really good quarterback who can run and throw. They have speed at the skill positions and scored a lot of points lately. Their defense plays aggressively, leading the nation in turnovers. We’ll have our hands full. We'll have to play really good football and be prepared to come out and execute better, but that's why you play the game. It’ll be a good test for us. I’m looking forward to having a good week in practice and putting it all together and having a good plan of going out there and trying to execute.”



(Concerns about looking sloppy)

“We’re always concerned that we need to get better. When you face good football teams you aren’t going to win every play. There's definitely some things that we’ve done better - we handled the crowd noise better until the end of the game when it got loud and messed some things up for us. We've had some penalties, but we've been pretty good at keeping the penalties down and we have to try to continue to have as few as we possibly can. There are all kinds of things to clean up, but you’re going to have that when you're facing really good football teams every week. We just have to find a way to be sharper with the turnover battle, try to limit big plays, execute in critical time situations, have a good plan for that, and be better. It's a lot of small things that add up when you're facing good teams that you can't have.



(On his fourth down philosophy)

“We've been aggressive on fourth down the first three games and converted a lot of them, this game obviously that didn't happen. I didn't love my option call on the first fourth and one. I thought we got the exact look that we had. I would take that one back, even though we got the look exactly that we wanted and we just weren't able to get the edge. We were a little aggressive around the 50 yard line, and had someone open over the middle but we couldn't protect long enough, so that one didn't work. At the end of the game (when we were) trying to get the first down, changing the personnel, and calling the play, the communication took longer and Tyler (Shough) couldn't hear and some things didn't go right there. We wanted to get the first down for sure. We had over a minute left to move the ball and had some things we could've done better there. We're making sure we’re analyzing that. We do want to air on being aggressive but you have to convert those. There are things we could've done better, especially me, and we’ll work hard to fix that



(On the cornerbacks and injuries)

“Well, unfortunately Quincy [Riley] wasn’t able to play, so we’re hopeful to get him back this week. We’ll see, I can’t tell right now. Taz [Tahveon Nicholson] was able to play with an injury; I give him a lot of credit; he hung in there and he played a long time. Corey Thornton had hand surgery two weeks ago and he plays with a cast; he hung in there and played the entire game. That position is a little thinner and a little banged up, but they played hard. For the most part, I thought we did a really good job at corner. There were one or two times that we could have maybe done a little bit better, but they did a pretty good job. We busted a couple man coverage deals - it wasn’t on our corner, it was on some other people - that we need to clean up, that hurt us. I really think that we can get them healthier this week. We’ll need every one of them because these guys [SMU] have speed at the skill position.”



(On Caulin Lacy’s first game)


“I give Caullin a lot of credit. He’s wanted to come back. He practiced before he was cleared, even though we had a special colored jersey on him. He was basically just cleared to go [on] game day. So, he hadn’t been hit or touched on it and he played hard. I just think that’s what we have gotten from him since he’s been here. He’s a tough young man, he’s a competitor. He wants to go out there and do great things. We’ve got to make sure we identify the things he’s really good at and make sure we do that with him because there are certain things he’s better at than others. He is a strong runner and he’s a competitor and we’ll need him out there.”



(On common denominators to winning close games)

“One I think is mindset. You’ve got to have tough young men that are going to compete to the end and play hard on every snap. We try to build that and enforce that and really ingrain that into our guys: ‘just keep playing as hard as you can, have a good attitude, and play to the end and good things will happen.’ I do think we will try to be aggressive and if we make mistakes, it might be by being overly aggressive. Hopefully that wins more than it loses, but it doesn’t always happen. I do think our guys know we’re going to be not be scared to adjust and adapt throughout the course of the game if we’ve got to do things to win. We had our chance in this game [against Notre Dame] even with everything that happened. To get the ball back with a chance to go down and at least tie the score with a touchdown. Unfortunately, the short yardage situation, we weren't able to convert. I like our makeup. I know that from here on we’ve got really good teams.”



(On SMU’s offense last two weeks)

“Right now they’re hot and they’ve got momentum. They’re trusting each other, they’re executing at a high level. Like I said, the quarterback [Kevin Jennings], settling on him - the offense has taken off. This is a young man who’s a six-foot quarterback; he can throw it, he’s got a great arm, he can run, he throws well on the move, he can escape the rush. You have to affect him or he’s going to get it to those playmakers. He’s got plenty of speed at the playmaking positions and I just think, the last two weeks, they have played as good as anybody in our conference by scoring points and being aggressive on defense, especially in the third down package. Right now, they’re gelling and playing at a high level.”



(On SMU’s defense creating turnovers)

“I think they’re very sound on first and second down; they don't give up a lot of big plays throughout that. On third down, they get very exotic, and they come after the quarterback. They affect the quarterback, so they made him get turnovers in those situations. They do some things that other teams aren’t as aggressive doing, so I give them credit. They’re well coached. Right now, they’re believing in what they’re doing. When your offense is having success, it gives you the flexibility to play more aggressive, which they have done and it’s definitely showing on video.”
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It wasn't the officiating folks, it was really bad game management

I'm glad Matt McGavic used the line "coping mechanism" in describing hand wringing over officiating. The call with Lacy was awful which is unfortunate because it lends itself to the whole remaining narrative of it being a poorly officiated game--my only remaining complaint is that Clark should have been ejected for what was called an unsportsmanlike conduct--especially in the context of Jamari Johnson's blindside blocking penalty in the fourth quarter. I don't care if Bell walked off the field and pissed on Clark's family members in the stands beforehand or even spit on him as some Notre Dame scribes have alleged. My complaint as it applies to the coping mechanism is I'm not so convinced on all of the spots and the one posted on Twitter over and over as "evidence" is a joke. The spot where the official took the football from the sideline to the spot on the left hash to have another official step in and correct it was because the official who moved it DID have the spot wrong. That's not a conspiracy folks, that was a corrected mistake and I didn't think Chaney was remotely close to getting the first down. I am of the mindset that if Chris Bell turns his 6"2, 220 pound frame upfield instead of angling to the sideline and trying to outrun a faster DB we're not pissing and moaning about the spot. And that's not even to mention the recipe for folly that ensued on 4th down where Brohm and the staff went into a brain lock thinking there was going to be a measurement. That whole sequence of events to me was horrifying because in a high pressure, high intensity situation Jeff looked like he was on Tilt more than in control of all the variables. I don't have a problem with the playcall of an option pitch on 4th and 1 into the shortside, I have a problem with it being Chaney who is a North/South exclusive runner and Jeff confessed as much postgame. The Browns were much better personnel fits for that play.

The "spots" on the the game's last drive were also vexing because of the same end of the half mismanagement. We got the ball back on our final drive at the 2:44 mark. 1st down run for 5 to midfield, next snap at the 2:21 mark run for 3 yards to the Notre Dame 47 and this is where I am equally as critical of Jeff as at the end of the first half...we had a two minute warning timeout and no remaining timeouts pocketed which is why the run on 2nd down I thought was dumb, dumb, dumb. Passing gave you more upside. Incompletion stops the clock and sets you up with 3rd and 5 and you can do that coming out of a huddle, completion more yardage, a clock stoppage for the 1st down and an extra play before the two minute warning. The whole sequence suggested to me in retrospect that Jeff didn't want to give Notre Dame any time to get off a long field goal if and when we scored. Honestly, I think we were probably going to go for two if we scored the touchdown on that drive but we'll never know. If I'm being honest I would have played for OT because I think defensively we had figured out Notre Dame's attack midway through the second quarter and virtually dominated to the point of the breakdown at the 9:00 mark of the 4th quarter.

...and again, that isn't officiating folks. Frankly, Jeff choked on the bit.

Don't spend that money yet...

Why are employee credit unions spending millions of dollars on stadium naming rights?

I posed this question a couple years ago when the L&N naming rights deal was announced. Hard to fathom that a credit union member wouldn't rather have his costs reduced.

I've never seen a copy of the L&N contract, but I do know that it's pay-as-you-go. $2 million annually with nothing paid up front. If anyone has looked at the language, I'm curious whether it's a binding commitment although that might not matter if the federal government intervenes in these deals.

Some thoughts off the top of my head

* I was making the point preseason here and on Twitter that the player I was most looking forward to seeing on the field for Louisville wasn't an incoming transfer, it was Stanquan Clark. Saturday vindicated that for me because he was fantastic. Antonio Watts was right there with him and appears to have fully supplanted Ben Perry at that Rover position.

We talk a lot about whether a position group is better from one year to the next thinking that we were going to have a deep defensive line group with Gillotte being the clear headliner and a talented secondary which has shown to be a good tackling group on the corners but seeing clear breakdowns from the safeties that I think can probably be schemed out (I must have watched the 1st quarter TD pass twenty times last night and still trying to figure out just what the coverage was; we used to call it invert when I was in HS but it looked like our DB on the slot was drunk running into the CB). Linebacker is better than last year, and that was a pretty good group losing only Alderman to Miami; Clark's play is giving some indications as to why he left. I didn't expect it to be this good.

* Speaking of position groups and players leaving, for the most part we haven't really seen the negative side of losing a player in the Portal even though there are ALOT of contributors throughout the Power 4 conferences that are ex-Cards. Greedy Vance and Kani Walker are starters at CB at Southern Cal and Oklahoma respectively. Caleb Banks is starting at DT at Florida and Jermayne Lole has been at Texas. I noticed Jordan Watkins returning punts for Ole Miss against UK Saturday. Jackson Hamilton and Jaylin Alderman are playing at Ga Tech and Miami.

But someone we'd love to have back because he not only is at a position where we are most deficient, he's damned good and that's Luke Kandra at UC; who was all-Big 12 last year and he is rated as a first round draft pick as one of the top 3 guards in the upcoming draft. Put him with our current group and the possibility of sliding Collins in at Center and we have a very different looking outlook. It points out the toughness traditionally of recruiting offense linemen at Louisville; it still baffles me that we don't see offensive linemen coming out of Trinity and St. X to the extent they come out of the high schools in Lexington

* I have also made the point that our Senior Day is going to look like the Million Man March and it's so big they could probably divide it into three separate groups recognized in the remaining home games to save time on Senior Day festivities; that said, you can't help but be excited about what we've seen from the last two recruiting classes from among Clark, Isaac and Keyjuan Brown and Jamari Johnson in particular. You don't see many RBs put into a designed rollout for a wheel route/fade into a corner at any level of football like Isaac Brown's 1st quarter TD grab. And he looked as smooth as an NFL WR executing the route, the catch and the footwork. The route combination isolating Jamari Johnson on an LB up the right seam for 27 yards on his reception was also a very well designed and well executed play. For me the biggest takeaway was it was very fluid because a lot of tight ends seem to jerk at the ball rather than making a straight hands catch on the dead run; Johnson is physically completely transformed from where he was when he got on campus last year. I was concerned he was going to have to become an offensive lineman to see the field.

Adonijah Green at the DE normally manned by Tramel Logan got some reps so it looks like he's starting to earn the trust of the defensive staff.

* One guy I'm happy to see turn it around from where he was at the end of last year is Brock Travelsted; a changed breeze direction from hitting a 60 yarder against Georgia Tech and a nailed 56 yarder in South Bend which was a huge kick that would have kicked dirt over our grave if he missed it down 10.

Lastly, SMU worries me. Really well executed RPO offenses are bad enough, but the way we've had total breakdowns in coverage from our safeties leaves me really concerned. We blew coverages against Jacksonville State and was bailed out by a call deemed incomplete that looked like a botched call, we had two clear busts against Ga Tech and a minimum of two against Notre Dame. SMU may well have a better receiving corps than what we've seen so far. I don't want a shootout, but I'm afraid that is what we might have Saturday.
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