National seeding

[earsky]

As our rpi fluctuates(the win against Vandy was huge as they took a series over Tennessee) somewhere between 21-23,it appears we're headed for a 2 seed.

Preferences? I'd say one of two places,either Vandy or Tennessee look the likliest. Unless things change drastically, I'm guessing Tennessee as they are sliding down and Vandy is on the rise. Because we would be a higher 2,right now it appears like @ Tennessee. Man,I'm hoping we get a chance to knock off these turds.Lol

Thoughts?

 

[Bardman]

Either way I think those scenarios result in good old fashioned beat downs. Sweep these last 4 home games and get into the ACCT finals - that has to be the goal and the pathway to a regional that is winnable.

 

[earsky]

Either way I think those scenarios result in good old fashioned beat downs. Sweep these last 4 home games and get into the ACCT finals - that has to be the goal and the pathway to a regional that is winnable.

You mean as a host?

 

[CardX]

Either way I think those scenarios result in good old fashioned beat downs. Sweep these last 4 home games and get into the ACCT finals - that has to be the goal and the pathway to a regional that is winnable.

If history has showed us anything, Mac doesn't give a shit about the ACCT. And, that's fine. But, this year, he may need to adjust his strategy.

 

[Bardman]

Potentially host - although that is probably a longshot. Maybe a 2 seed but with a weaker #1.

 

[earsky]

Potentially host - although that is probably a longshot. Maybe a 2 seed but with a weaker #1.

Yeah that's why I thought Tennessee. Their trend is heading towards being a that weaker 1 seed. I don't have any illusions about winning a national championship, but I'd love a chance to mess up their's.

 

[earsky]

Tennessee rpi now 15

Hell,they might not even host.

 

[CardX]

Tennessee rpi now 15

Hell,they might not even host.

The Cards are 22. I won't say jumping into the top 14 is not out of the realm of possibility, but a lot has to happen. Playing BU tomorrow doesn't do us any favors.

 

[earsky]

The Cards are 22. I won't say jumping into the top 14 is not out of the realm of possibility, but a lot has to happen. Playing BU tomorrow doesn't do us any favors.

They meaning Tennessee.
I'm already thinking two seed for us. If we're one of the higher 2s,they might ship us out of the region or we could end up staying closer and going to Knoxville. The Vols still have work to do,the way they're sliding.

 

[2330859]

Any expectation for successful tournament performance evaporated for me after having witnessed seeing 23 (I think my math is accurate here) consecutive innings in Atlanta where we were only able to produce 4 runs, while giving up 10 runs to GT.

I totally understand the unusual circumstances associated with the 16 runs in game 1, but one cannot adequately explain how the same team that exploded for 13 runs in one inning could shut down so completely for the next 23 innings.

 

[nccardfan]

Potentially host - although that is probably a longshot. Maybe a 2 seed but with a weaker #1.

One site has us as a 2 seed to Coastal Carolina, who is 40-11 out of the SunBelt. Their strength is pitching with their starters, 9-0, 5-1, and 5-2 but I don't know how strong the SunBelt is. We could do a lot worse.

 

[earsky]

Just watched YouTube highlights from the Tennessee/Vandy rubber game from Sunday.
Worth the watch as Vandy takes the series @Tennessee. Chippy to say the least. The win against Vandy and Texas undoubtedly keeping us from having conversations about approaching bubble talk.

 

[earsky]

Just went from a possible regional 2 to a 2 heading somewhere far away...

Not good at all.

 

[2330859]

There is no clear explanation for this team’s performance this season. As Earsky noted above, these kids just drove the bus out of any chance of a rewarding seed in the NCAA tournament.

I have no idea what the future holds for CDM, Roger Williams and the UL Baseball Program; but I do hope one lesson could be learned ……….specifically that no team can be successful when the Pitching rotation cannot find the strike zone, and stay in it consistently. This phenomena of witnessing walks, HBPs and Wild Pitches from the rotation, became so predictable, that I honestly believe it contributed to a level of frustration by the rest of the team, resulting in a loss of both focus and winning attitude.

 

[nccardfan]

Just went from a possible regional 2 to a 2 heading somewhere far away...

Not good at all.

There's still a lot of possibilities left to play out. For instance, Tennessee may no longer host. Unless we drop all 3 to Wake, which I don't see happening, we could still end up in Vandy's regional. NCAA seems to really like that matchup. There's also possibilities of being seeded #2 in Georgia, Coastal Carolina, Auburn and god forbid West Virginia Regionals. Not sure how but according to D1's latest projections, they have Kentucky on the 2 line but going to Conwallis, Oregon in Oregon St.'s bracket.

 

[nccardfan]

There is no clear explanation for this team’s performance this season. As Earsky noted above, these kids just drove the bus out of any chance of a rewarding seed in the NCAA tournament.

I have no idea what the future holds for CDM, Roger Williams and the UL Baseball Program; but I do hope one lesson could be learned ……….specifically that no team can be successful when the Pitching rotation cannot find the strike zone, and stay in it consistently. This phenomena of witnessing walks, HBPs and Wild Pitches from the rotation, became so predictable, that I honestly believe it contributed to a level of frustration by the rest of the team, resulting in a loss of both focus and winning attitude.

Step away from the ledge and think about what you wrote. As a fan, we see disappointment that its likely we're not hosting. Unfortunately it's going to be the case, but this year we have been primarily ranked in the top 25 and projected as a 2 seed. Now consider the fact, that our #1 pitcher got shut down halfway during the season, our #2 went down early and may not return, our #3 is now relegated to the midweek game. Throw in our primary catcher and the guy who was batting cleanup has been out most of the season. Add in that Alecea, Pike, EKJ (early in the season) have been hurt and missed games.

Then ask yourself, if you knew all that stuff was going to happen would you still think there would be the slightest chance for hosting or even a possible 2 seed? Yes, I have been on record that I thought we needed a change at the pitching coach but on the other hand its surprising to me that we are still in this position.

 

[earsky]

There's still a lot of possibilities left to play out. For instance, Tennessee may no longer host. Unless we drop all 3 to Wake, which I don't see happening, we could still end up in Vandy's regional. NCAA seems to really like that matchup. There's also possibilities of being seeded #2 in Georgia, Coastal Carolina, Auburn and god forbid West Virginia Regionals. Not sure how but according to D1's latest projections, they have Kentucky on the 2 line but going to Conwallis, Oregon in Oregon St.'s bracket.

I agree with most of your post,and I was being a bit facetious with my post although we certainly dropped 5 spots on that loss alone last night. I worry about how we're trending in the eyes of the selection committee. Certainly, there's work to do to stay near this time zone, even prevent the 3 seed scenario.

 

[nccardfan]

I agree with most of your post,and I was being a bit facetious with my post although we certainly dropped 5 spots on that loss alone last night. I worry about how we're trending in the eyes of the selection committee. Certainly, there's work to do to stay near this time zone, even prevent the 3 seed scenario.

I know its means whether you are the home team or visitor the first game but there's really no difference between a 2 or 3 seed. I think most pundits realize that midweek games don't count as much as conference games, however I would think the win over Vandy has to weigh more than the loss to Bellarmine. I know as fans though, that's probably not the case.

 

[Bardman]

Wake listed as a 2 seed makes me nervous about the weekend. If Wake comes in and sweeps, or wins, the series UofL will most surely drop to a 3.

 

[earsky]

however I would think the win over Vandy has to weigh more than the loss to Bellarmine. I know as fans though, that's probably not the case.

I just went to the Warren Nolan RPI website and his poll has real time rankings that change in...well, real time. We dropped 5 spots after the losss last night. We're now 27th and Wake is 29th. The Vandy win sandwiched between series losses to Notre Dame and Ga Tech was just erased. Being a high 3 might keep us closer to home. Obviously, we still have time to help ourselves. It's really about landing somewhere that we can compete to win a region, against a weaker 1. We're not hosting anything after last night. If that Vandy win had been in Nashville...

If you get a chance, check out the site.

 

[CardX]

I agree with most of your post,and I was being a bit facetious with my post although we certainly dropped 5 spots on that loss alone last night. I worry about how we're trending in the eyes of the selection committee. Certainly, there's work to do to stay near this time zone, even prevent the 3 seed scenario.

Dropping 5 spots isn't too bad. Of course, this time of year with the post season right around the corner, the timing of the loss to a very bad baseball team is a gut punch.

There are a lot of programs who would see change after a loss like that, given the circumstances. Lose to a podunk program in February or March, ok, the team is still putting things together. Lose to a podunk program in mid-May with a lot of things on the line, yeah, people lose their jobs.

 

[earsky]

If we're all still even thinking about any possibility of success a few weeks from now, I guess I'd have preferred going against a 1 seed that falls in that 10-16 range, no matter where it's at. My concern of dropping 5 spots with one loss is that it now has us as a lower half 2,going against arguably one of the hotter 1 seeds after this weekend in the 4-10 range. And we might not be done sliding. We could end up playing #2 at one of the top 4 seeds. Vandy could end up being that spot. Do we really want to go there?

 

[2330859]

I can assure you that I am not on any ledge, but my disappointment has admittedly turned into frustration, and YES, that frustration manifests into having little if any expectation for ACC and/or NCAA Tournament success for this team. I have remained rather objective about this UL BB Team, and losing to the Knights was not entirely responsible for my most recent post, as the post I submitted previously to that one, where I addressed the 23 innings against GT; that actually provided most of the pessimism that I have now.

I should add that virtually every college BB Team in America has demonstrated the ability to lose unexpectedly, and there is a fair argument that parity has definitely arrived into this particular sport. While it is also true that most all college teams are witnessing some statistical increase in walks; there are no other D1 College BB Teams in the top 25 that has anywhere close to the combined number of walks, HBPs and Wild Pitches that UL has to date.

 

[nccardfan]

D1 Baseball projections as of Friday 23rd still has us in the Vandy regional but now as the #3 seed. Kansas St is listed as the 2 seed.

 

[CardX]

It does not matter what seed. It does not matter where. The Cards, with their pitching woes, will not advance.

 

[2330859]

Regrettably X is correct; at this point it doesn’t matter who we match up with, our pitching woes prohibit any serious chance for advancing.

 

[earsky]

D1 Baseball projections as of Friday 23rd still has us in the Vandy regional but now as the #3 seed. Kansas St is listed as the 2 seed.

Currently sitting right at #32,likely we are now a 3 seed,having dropped 8 of the last 11.

And I agree we're not solid enough to advance because of our pitching, but also because the offense is not getting enough in the bottom half of the lineup. There have been offenses here in the past that could spark hope of carrying the sketchy pitching issues, but I don't think this one can.
Jmo