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Game by game prediction

Each season I predict the Cards schedule based on the expectations and prior results from the season before. I do this with the opponents as well. It's solely for fun but I try to take it seriously as I can. I did very well last season predicting 10 regular season wins.

So here we go.

1. Cards 52 AP 6
2. Cards 38 Jax. State 10
3. Cards 32 GT 16
4. ND 30 Cards 27
5. Cards 44 SMU 16
6. Cards 34 Virginia 14
7. Cards 38 Miami 24
8. Cards 32 BC 13
9. Cards 27 Clemson 24
10. Cards 34 Stanford 17
11. Cards 35 Pitt 17
12. Cards 38 UK 23

Louisville 11 - 1 8 - 0

ACC championship
Louisville vs Virginia Tech

If Tyler Shough is as good as advertised and he stays relatively healthy, this Louisville team can win all 12 games. There's two key ACC games and 2 key OOC games.

I know GT's win over FSU will have the Yellow Jackets ranked when they play Louisville, but I wasn't that impressed with them in that game. It was more the ineptitude of the Seminole's offense that got the W for GT. I think the Cards at home will take care of the rambling wreck.

Its basically the Miami and Clemson games in the ACC for the Cards. Other than those two and GT, the others are going to struggle to win 6 games. And it's ND and UK away from the conference. I could have just as well picked Louisville to again beat the Irish, but I just don't think the Cards will win all 12 games. They're good enough, but this program has never been lucky enough.

I just can't bring myself to pick losing to UK again but it could happen. A lot depends on what the season has done for both teams. I think Louisville is better but they were last season too.

If it's an unlucky season, the Cards could lose 3 or 4 games. A last second FG, a blown call by a ref with a minute to go, key injuries at the worst time, etc...

But if luck has nothing to do with this season, I think Louisville is good enough to make it back to the ACC Championship. I forsee at worst a 9 and 3 season but 11 and 1 is where I'm at.

Go Cards!

UofL Football Picked To Finish 5th

The Atlantic Coast Conference announced Tuesday that the Louisville football program has been picked to finish fifth in the 2024 conference race, according to a preseason poll of 170 media members across the league.

Florida State was chosen as the favorite to win the ACC title this season, garnering 2,708 points and being chosen as the favorite on 81 of the ballots. Clemson, Miami and NC State round out the top five, with the Cardinals securing 1,984 points in the poll.

AHB Rumors & Grad Transfer Rules

The college football spring transfer window's closing date of April 30 applies only to underclassmen.

Grad transfers will be given an extra day — through Wednesday, May 1 — to enter their name into the transfer portal, multiple sources clarified to 247Sports.

Graduate transfer rules have shifted considerably over the past week. Previously, grad transfers were not subject to the NCAA's transfer windows. They were allowed to enter the transfer portal at any time.

"Due to the timing of the adoption of Proposal No. 2024-5, postgraduate student-athletes in football, women's ice hockey, rife, skiing, women's swimming and diving and indoor track and field have until May 1, 2024 to provide written notice of transfer in order to be entered into the transfer portal before the start of the 2024-25 academic year."

That's pretty clear. I think the reports of him coming back were BS. The rules are pretty clear at this point, Grad Transfers had until May 1st to get in the portal. There's no more open season rule for Grad Transfers. So whoever was spreading the AHB returning rumor was just creating something out of thin air, because someone in the know would've known that the deadline has passed. He'll be at SC this year and that should end this.

That's my interpretation of things, but someone may know something else or have a different rule? I could be wrong.

FOOTBALL GAME WEEK: Predicting Louisville's first depth chart

We should get our first look at the depth chart tomorrow. Before we get it, here is my first crack at predicting what the starters will look like:

OFFENSE:

LT
Monroe Mills

LG
Michael Gonzalez

C
Pete Nygra

RG
Renato Brown

RT
Jonathan Mendoza
OR
Rasheed Miller

QB
Tyler Shough
Pierce Clarkson
OR
Harrison Bailey

RB
Don Chaney
OR
Maurice Turner
Isaac Brown

TE
Mark Redman
OR
Jamari Johnson

WR
Jacorey Brooks

WR
Cataurus Hicks

WR
Chris Bell

DEFENSE

DE
Ashton Gillotte
Ramon Puryear

DT
Dez Tell

DT
Jared Dawson

DE
Myles Jernigan
OR
Adonijah Green

LB
Stanquan Clark

LB
TJ Quinn

LB
Ben Perry
OR
Antonio Watts

CB
Quincy Riley

CB
Corey Thornton

S
MJ Griffin
OR
Tamarion McDonald

S
Devin Neal
OR
Tamarion McDonald

P
Brady Hodges

K
Brock Travelstead

PR
Quincy Riley
Cataurus Hicks
Jimmy Calloway
Jadon Thompson

KR
Maurice Turner
Isaac Brown
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FSU vs GT

Looks like Big 10 football out there. Smash mouth and check downs. Nobody is taking a shot. Is it lack of faith in the QBs? Overestimating the secondaries? Whatever it is, I don’t think we’re gonna learn much from this one other than GT has a good OL and they will lean on that. Need to rotate the DL in and out and hope they are tired out from their run of games to start the season. Only one other tough game against Cuse before us though.
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