The phrase "work to do" from that ESPN piece meant one thing. Louisville wasn't presently in the NCAA tournament and has a under 50 percent chance they will unless they win more games.
That is bullshit and every Cards fan should agree. Of course if they go on a 5 game losing streak things would be different. That's the case with most every team. They all have work to do.
Now this thing with ESPN'S computer model I don't know, but what I do know is the people running that department at ESPN had to know saying Louisville wasn't in yet, but the ACC teams they beaten were likely in was total BS!
