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Rich Rod back to WVU?

Rewatched some of the Black out a week ago and was struck by Butch Jones looking pseudo normal instead of the wannabe Jar Head he became at UT and also by how much coaching Jon Gannon was doing to our defense on the bench as nothing more than a graduate assistant who at the time would have been in his first year Post Graduate.

Tough to turn down Michigan and that was preceded by Alabama making overtures to him, but man they were a match made in Almost Heaven there for a three year stretch.

A long 2024 Postmortem

I'm always hesitant to ascribe end results to intangibles like luck or momentum, believing both to be byproducts of the tangible things like matchups or mismatches and the opportunity to exploit that that comes with combinations of good coaching, good scouting and the guts to pull the trigger when those mismatches are spotted. Jeff has demonstrated that he's a good coach and it's struck me as rare in his two years that we look like we're caught off-guard offensively or unable to move the football for more than one half; we're clearly prepared. If I would give myself a second's pause to say we lost a single game that just looked offscript it was against Notre Dame; the field position cost of fumbling a kickoff (that we recovered but deep in our territory), the great playcall springing Shough for 40+ yards that he botched fumbling the football staking us to a 14-7 first quarter deficit and the bad snap on the punt on the subsequent drive.

But as I said then, that's where Jeff has one big blemish like the Penn State game cited and a game at Syracuse I recall; Notre Dame we came up empty multiple times with a bad combination of poor personnel executing a play...Chaney was the last of our five running backs capable of getting the edge on a 4th and 1 and beyond that it was against one of Notre Dame's true defensive strengths. That's not luck. Luck is making that pitch to Chaney and a Gale force wind blows the football behind him.

...all of that said, I agree with you Real, those two losses back-to-back don't happen if we executed the 4th downs better against ND and SMU and that crew got the fumble right. The season becomes a hell of alot different.

A long 2024 Postmortem

For me, it's mostly just bad luck that we're not playing in the ACC championship game. Of course there were mistakes and inconsistent coaching, but if just a handful of things hadn't happened, we would have overcame them to win.

Notre Dame: Louisville is the best team the Irish faced this season and if it weren't for at least two decisively horrible officiating calls, the Irish would have lost.

Had the Cards won this game, it would have propelled them into the top 10.

SMU: We all saw how this game ended. The replay review reversal was bullshit and it directly led to the SMU win. Now maybe Louisville would have lost anyway, in overtime? Who knows? But everyone knows the reversal is what cost the Cards the game.

Now think where Louisville would have been if their luck was good and not bad. Top 5?

Everything would have been different when we played Miami. It would have been a top 10 matchup. GameDay would have most likely came to Louisville.

Now maybe the game would have ended the same way it did, but with all that energy and momentum and ESPN there, I believe Louisville would have won. A loss however wouldn't have knocked the Cards out of the ACC title game.

That would be determined against Clemson. Now would the Cards have still laid an egg at Stanford? I can't believe they would have but who really knows? Brohm hasn't been upset every single time after upsetting a ranked team the game before.

Louisville would be in control of its ACC title game appearance. Even with one loss to Miami, they would be in by winning out, so the Stanford game would have had a more urgent attention than he did.

Louisville should be 11 and 1 and probably playing Clemson in a rematch. They would have been a playoff lock. However, those two early losses that could have easily been wins, left us with once again, disappointing what ifs?

A long 2024 Postmortem

Mark Ennis made an interesting point on his show with Biscuit Monday that almost had me changing my mind about this season. This ended up being a down year for Louisville, but his point was that in two years under Brohm they beat Notre Dame, they won at Miami, they made the ACC Championship game and they put to bed the two biggest losing streaks we have tied to the Program--the albatross that was Clemson and the dreaded five game streak with UK. And in those last two instances resoundingly and with no questions asked. None of those things happened under Satterfield--or Petrino if we're being fair to the Record--though I maintain we owe Satterfield a lot more than we care to admit with who he left for Brohm to utilize versus what he inherited which was complete and utter disarray outside of three good wide receivers and Mekhi Becton. He was the right guy to get us out of the Ditch, he was the wrong guy to get us into the ACC's Top Four.

But I would retort...we lost to a Pitt that went 2-6 in ACC play and Stanford who went 2-6 in ACC play under Brohm. We keep having these one score games against teams that should be the ones asking questions of themselves at halftime. I can't reconcile that because that was a Satterfield issue too.

I think we missed a Golden opportunity this year and if you ask me why I'd say because we had the personnel criteria to be playing tomorrow night. We took the field against Miami--with Caullin Lacy and Jamari Johnson--with the best skill position group at our disposal going back to the Governor's Cup in 2006 (we had Michael, and we didn't have the running back quality complementing Teddy Bridgewater and were probably carried more by Lamar than we had quality at WR and RB in those years). Our offensive line eventually flourished in all of the games after Miami. We had two high quality cornerbacks but that probably had as much to do with us losing at Notre Dame and against SMU because Riley was out and Thornton was wearing the oven mitt. We had what I perceived to be a deep defensive line that when it was all said and done probably lacked a consistent pass rusher opposite Gillotte, which contributed to his high pressure number but half the sack total. We got sometimes game changing production out of our special teams units.

Moving forward preseason next year I'll be looking to see how many NFL draftees we legitimately have on the defensive side of the football. I think you have to have four a year and when it's all said and done we did have four in the Spring with Thornton, Riley, Gillotte and Tyler Barron, but Barron was sent packing to Miami (which I'm not debating, he was a Cancer). I could have made an argument for MJ Griffin pre injury last year because he was the best DB in Fall Camp in 2023. My fear as it pertains to next season is we realistically only have one and that's Stanquan. We've had multiple years now where our cornerback tandem was going to play in the NFL on back through Kei'trel Clark with Quincey and Jarvis Brownlee and with Storm Duck last year who is in the NFL and this year with the Thornton/Riley tandem. We aren't starting with that in 2025 and are completely starting over. Something drastic is going to have to happen in the Portal at Defensive End and in the Secondary to be in the ACC hunt next year, and it's one reason why I think English is out anyway. We need a wholesale injection of talent, we consistently saw communication and alignment breakdowns from the safeties even against UK and we need a quality Safeties coach every bit as much as a new DC. That might be unfair to English to say that he was a single point of failure, but he was the common denominator.

So I will be looking at the ACC Title game tomorrow with that gnawing feeling that we'd have beaten both of them if we were there.


Truth. This is a year of "what might have been".
And next year will take some rebuilding to be competitive, with a schedule that is as tough as this past year's.

There is something else to factor in.

A Brohm trend that bears watching ....

-- Loss to 3-9 Stanford in '24
-- Loss to 3-9 Pitt in '23;
-- Loss to a good Penn State team in '22 ...
BUT clinging to a 31-28 lead, and forcing two punts (one 3 and out, one 4 and out), Purdue threw 9 incomplete passes .... allowing Penn State the opportunity to save clock, and score the winning touchdown. Which they did in an 8 play 80-yard drive in a minute and a half. OUCH.
-- Loss to 3-6 Rutgers in '20;
-- Loss to 3-9 Vandy in '19;
-- Loss to 7-6 Eastern Michigan in '18



So in addition to the roster rebuild, the coach needs to get better too.


EDIT: Rereading my post, it comes off as pretty harsh toward Brohm, which was not my intention. I want Brohm to be the viewed as the best coach in the country. I want him to be the best coach he can be. He's still learning, and he can get better. There are enough data points that he should see ways he can improve as a play caller, and coach in general. I am hoping for that.
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A long 2024 Postmortem

I agree it was a missed opportunity. I tend to lean they had really bad luck with injuries, spring transfers and head scratching calls that were all 50-50 calls that went the wrong way.

The reality is they don’t have the quality depth at all the key positions. The Stanford and Pitt losses frankly don’t make any sense but they happened. They were fluke performances. The UK and Clemson wins weren’t flukes they won the line of scrimmage.

Here is what I am confident in if this staff can land legit personnel they can compete for the playoff especially offensively. The defense no clue on the path to success. Talent wise this was a talented group but they didn’t consistently perform at that level. In fairness they played against good QB’s that were on good teams. My main concern is the blown coverages on a regular basis and the inconsistency. The Clemson, Pitt and UK game excellent. The Stanford game disappears.

Again next year success is how do they handle the portal on the defensive side.
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