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EXH #2: LOUISVILLE VS SPALDING GAME THREAD- 7PM ACCNX

C
I was there. Sat up from the bench. The improvement in culture is amazing to watch.

Everyone is engaged and in to every play.

With that being said, my only concern is, are players being held accountable? There is NEVER anything negative, and I'm all for that. But it's not okay to make a silly pass out of bounds, not okay to get lost on D. I hope we have the toughness and accountability to take on the schedule that's coming.
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A Honest Discussion

EKYCard643
I would like to see Brohm go one of two ways: I would go find an old, grizzled, no-nonsense dude who knows the ins and outs of motivation and fielding a solid, no-nonsense defense and no real aspirations of trying to get a "better job" OR I would go after a young dude with SEC ties who may or may not be a DC now but has a good resume and can come in and recruit and coach like his hair is on fire.

I'm being dead serious—if (and I don't think this happens) Stoops were to leave Lexington, I would very much consider Brad White. UK's defense has been good under him, and he's known in SEC recruiting country and Ohio. I don't think it would happen even if Stoops were to walk away, but it's worth considering.
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A night game in Death Valley and the Cards are +10.5.

C
To win at Clemson:

1. Those opportunities where the ball is hung up for Corey Thornton and Quincey Riley have to be intercepted not dropped. It's like fouling off a hanging slider instead of depositing it into the outfield stands. It's a momentum swing all it's own. They both seem like they are getting healthier which is making a difference in overall quality of coverage.

2. You always have to have a big night from your second or third option, and Chris Bell you are on the clock.

3. Protect Shough. Mills and Renardo were inserted against BC and it looked like a net positive.

An early score would be huge for this team, especially if it came on the back of a big play defensively or on special teams. We saw it against Miami in the 3rd quarter on consecutive plays; we need that Saturday night.
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A Honest Discussion

T
I think the issues on offense are tied more to the players than scheme and execution. The start of the BC game was Bruce dropping a pass, Bruce fumble, Tyler being soft and throwing a terrible pick. They missed on one of the tackles spots and the other one got hurt. Which has led to inconsistent play. Once they stopped making mistakes they played really good. They were actually very good in the red zone against BC.

The defense has more operational issues with their scheme and execution. It has consistently led to huge plays. Let’s see what happens against Clemson.
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A night game in Death Valley and the Cards are +10.5.

ajgcardman
CardX said:
Not ideal. However, if you take a deeper look into the numbers, Clemson's advantage isn't all that noteworthy. They have the 53rd ranked defense. The Cards are 62. Clemson's D allows 348 YPG. The Cards, 359. Clemson gives up 23 PPG. UofL, almost 25. On the offensive side of things, the gap widens a little. Clemson's offense is ranked 5th. UofL is ranked 15th. Clemson puts up 490 YPG. UofL produces 460 YPG. Clemson scores 42 PPG. UofL averages 37 PPG.

Obviously, home field plays a significant role here. Clemson is certainly a little better. I look for a high scoring game. It will take a near mistake free performance by UofL to get the win. It can be done. Brohm owes us a big game this year, which he's typically good for. The Cards also showed a lot of grit last game. Hopefully, that momentum carries on to this Saturday.

ESPN's matchup predictor has this at Clemson 77%, UofL 33%. Sounds about right.
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Some food for thought, regarding strength of schedule:

  • Clemson's opponents' offenses on the season have averaged a paltry 24.9 ppg while their opponents' defenses are giving up 28.7 ppg (meaning their opponents, excluding Georgia, suck), while the Cards opponents' offenses have scored a lofty 34.7 ppg and given up a much more stingy 22.3 ppg (much stiffer competition).
  • Clemson has played only one team this year that averages 28+ ppg (Georgia at 34 ppg), while the Cards have played 5, 4 that average over 37 ppg (Miami, ND, SMU, & Jax St).
  • Yes, Clemson "D" only gives up 23 ppg, but against teams' offenses that only score 25 ppg, or they hold opponent offenses to 2 points below what they normally score. Louisville gives up 25 ppg against offenses that score almost 35, or 10 points below what they normally score.
  • Clemson scores 42 ppg against defenses that allow about 29 (+13), while Louisville scores 37 ppg against defenses that allow 22 (+15).
  • Therefore, when you factor in "strength of opponent." one could clearly argue that Louisville's numbers are actually slightly better.
Unfortunately, the game is in Death Valley, the ACC will want Clemson to hold serve (we see what that does to officiating and video reviews), and Louisville is really banged up trying to complete a grueling 7-week grind against difficult competition, while Clemson comes in fresh after playing a much weaker schedule and enjoying a bye week with 2 weeks to prepare. Is that worth a 10-point spread? I guess we'll see. GO CARDS!
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A night game in Death Valley and the Cards are +10.5.

cardrock
2330859 said:
For the most part, Clemson has been outstanding against their opponents running game, and those “3 and outs” result in a lot more offensive opportunities and points for the Tigers. Assuming Clemson defense is successful limiting our ability to run the ball (something that Clemson has does quite effectively), Jeff needs to put aside his natural instincts towards staying with a balanced offense, and focus on our passing game. I do not see us having success running against Clemson.
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Yea because Clemson has only played one team this year with a winning record. And they lost that one.
Your point while it might be accurate, is just NOT a sound reason to favor Clemson. Because the numbers are deceptive. Clemson gives up an average of
Clemson gives up 130 rushing YPG
Louisville gives up 136 rushing YPG
and our schedule has been way way tougher.
We have faced 3 teams where their offense is in the top 25 with Rushing YPG
Clemson has played zero, zip, nada no team in the top 25 with rushing YPG
Just sayin. 😀
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EXH #2: LOUISVILLE VS SPALDING GAME THREAD- 7PM ACCNX

Cardiac Red
shadow force said:
Sloppy this game. Gotta cut down on careless TOS.
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Yeah sloppy for sure. Could just be a little bored with such a difference in talent and score.. Hard to really tell how good this team is. I go back and forth about it. I guess when we play Tennessee in a couple weeks we'll get something to judge them by..
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