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Duke- Do Cards Stand a Chance?

I'm thinking most Cards fans aren't counting on a win against Duke on Sunday. They have a lot of talent and size that should make for tough matchups for our team.

Any thoughts on this upcoming game?

Just that the Cards have a puncher’s chance. Do we shoot the three at 35% or higher? If yes, we should be competitive. Looking for a better effort on the defensive end than we saw against Ole Miss.
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A long 2024 Postmortem

For me, it's mostly just bad luck that we're not playing in the ACC championship game. Of course there were mistakes and inconsistent coaching, but if just a handful of things hadn't happened, we would have overcame them to win.

Notre Dame: Louisville is the best team the Irish faced this season and if it weren't for at least two decisively horrible officiating calls, the Irish would have lost.

Had the Cards won this game, it would have propelled them into the top 10.

SMU: We all saw how this game ended. The replay review reversal was bullshit and it directly led to the SMU win. Now maybe Louisville would have lost anyway, in overtime? Who knows? But everyone knows the reversal is what cost the Cards the game.

Now think where Louisville would have been if their luck was good and not bad. Top 5?

Everything would have been different when we played Miami. It would have been a top 10 matchup. GameDay would have most likely came to Louisville.

Now maybe the game would have ended the same way it did, but with all that energy and momentum and ESPN there, I believe Louisville would have won. A loss however wouldn't have knocked the Cards out of the ACC title game.

That would be determined against Clemson. Now would the Cards have still laid an egg at Stanford? I can't believe they would have but who really knows? Brohm hasn't been upset every single time after upsetting a ranked team the game before.

Louisville would be in control of its ACC title game appearance. Even with one loss to Miami, they would be in by winning out, so the Stanford game would have had a more urgent attention than he did.

Louisville should be 11 and 1 and probably playing Clemson in a rematch. They would have been a playoff lock. However, those two early losses that could have easily been wins, left us with once again, disappointing what ifs?
I’m convinced that the bye week after Clemson broke our momentum. Brohm doesn’t like Bye weeks and I agree.

Current Sagarin College Football Ratings Possible Bowl Opponents for UL, Cards Come in at # 15

The Sagarin Computer have been the Gold Standard in College Football Rating Forever! No Eye Tests in this Rating just simple facts, and data! This rating with a few other has for many years been used by Vegas to set Opening lines for Vegas!
Ranking SOS Ranking

15. UL CARDS 83.28 34
14. Miami 83.70 61 2 losses
11. IU 84.94 73
10. SMU 86.13 63
13. SC 83.95 17
12. COL 83.99 27
16. LSU 83.25 7
18. TAM 82.77 18
22. CLEMSON 81.23 60
25. MIZZOU 81.44 49
37. VATECH 78.08 43
46. SYRACUSE 75.43 57
51. DUKE 74.11 66
8. OLE MISS 88.71 46 3 losses

I did this post so we can understand where UL should stand in the pecking order of Bowl Games. I believe if SMU wins the ACC Championship tomorrow. That both SMU and Miami will end up in playoff. AL, GA, TX, and TN are in! So are OR, OSU, and PENN STATE are in. ND in for sure! Odd men out IU, and OLE MS. If SMU, and Miami are in then. Top Teams up for Bowl Games ACC are Ul & Clemson! IMO we are Gator Bowl Bound!

A long 2024 Postmortem

Of course we had our share of mistakes and bad coaching decisions that had nothing to do with luck. Without those the Cards would probably have overcome the bad breaks.

However, it's not plausible to think we're going to play close to a perfect game, and mistakes are going to happen. The ineptitude on 4th down has just been mysterious, especially with #25 back there in the backfield.

The bad luck I'm referring to is mostly the officiating but there was some unlucky bounces like Brooks not catching a perfect pass that deflects right into the hands of the defender. The error was Brooks not catching the pass, but if only the ball hit the ground like they usually do.

Shoughs fumble after his long run was another unlucky break. That ball could have easily went out of bounds, he was so close to the sideline, but it didn't.

The ND game was the game Louisville needed to win on so many levels, but the win was taken from them due to the incredibly bad officiating. We hate to say it because all fans blame the refs, but they do that because there are clear examples of that being the case.

The ND game was one of those.
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