hop, thanks for asking, but I'm just repeating what I've heard and can expect going forward...
I saw the CJ article and heard Jurich address the question a few weeks ago at a booster club function. His answers are mostly the same. Jurich made the remark in early November that the City should "buy out" U of L's contract if they don't want U of L as a tenant--that's how he's interpreting the treatment U of L is receiving. U of L agreed to go downtown when they didn't really want to, and they're not going to be made out as the fall guy.
Here's some tidbits that I heard and can reasonably conclude:
- Jurich is posturing to some extent with his present comments. But I think his real issue is that no one can come to grips with how much money is needed. The metaphor I've used is that he isn't jumping into a money pit that he can't see the bottom of.
- The amount of money we'll soon hear to stem the red ink will low-ball the real amount needed. Arena operations fall short of funding expenses to the tune of $20+ million annually. And there will be pressure to raise money as long as that deficit exists.
- At the club function, Jurich also referred to a hotel and convention center on the silo property. He's both ratcheting up the stakes--competing with the City for other business--and progressing his thinking beyond just men's basketball. And who shouldn't take him seriously?
- Bailout Arena has also taught U of L some things... They have a better handle on how many seats and suites they can sell. And they know how NOT to design a new arena from a fan experience standpoint. Both of those would lead IMO to a scaled-down, larger footprint arena at the silo property.
- In a real pi$$ing match, the bondholders are the ones with the most to lose. The City's and U of L's financial liabilities are limited to nonexistent. Of course, the City doesn't want to see a bankruptcy and voided contracts with U of L and the sponsors.
None of this is surprising, and the tone will get more acrimonious before it improves. Ultimately, there may be some type of arena kumbaya, but I wouldn't make that bet. And although I'll hate seeing it, I still maintain that arena was built to someday attract an NBA team to Louisville...