Everything said here is probably closer to right than wrong.The Louisville job opens every 4 years generally for one reason or another, has for decades. Had Dabo come and had been successful, he would have likely been snatched up. My guess is the Cards look better next year and look great in Year 4, and he's likely gone after that based on what he said in his presser. Until something in the data changes, it just is what it is (kind of like losing to UK every year unless we win the national title).
BTW, the average tenure of a Louisville FB headcoach since Schnellenberger departed in 1994 is 3.7 seasons.