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They cannot use the "Kentucky played the tougher schedule this year"...it going to get even worse...they got Charlotte and we have Pitt...
Yeah but the kittens have to play a pretty good young team in their last game. At the same time the Cards have an opponent which is in a free fall that weekend after Thanksgiving.
IMO SOS doesn't matter much unless you beat or at least compete with the teams that are actually on your schedule. We beat UK at PJCS last year with a better D and O. Let's not count our chickens yet. And I am a Card fan! Just being realistic
After we play them, our rankings might flip. They bring our SOS down, we bring theirs up. They should think about that the next time they start that " If we played that weak ACC schedule we would have 7 wins by now" bit.
After we play them, our rankings might flip. They bring our SOS down, we bring theirs up. They should think about that the next time they start that " If we played that weak ACC schedule we would have 7 wins by now" bit.
Sagarin is anciently outdated and rarely ever used these daysSagarin has UK's SOS at 27 and UofL's at 39 - it is all in how you measure it.
http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
Why do you assume we would lose to Tennessee and MSU? Why would you assume that UK would beat anybody besides Samford? Vandy is a "maybe" for UL? Really? You overrate the SEC especially this year. Aside from Bama and possibly UF, the conference has no great teams, though ole miss, MSU, LSU, maybe Tenn qualify as good. UGa is not close to where they were last year.Actually, if either school played the other's schedule either might be 9-1 right now. Matchups matter as much as anything and it could be that either school matches up better with the other's competition. Both lost to Auburn so that is easy and both might lose to everyone on the other's schedule.
But, I am too lazy to do a match up analysis right now. Let's assume that if schedules were flipped one team's wins would be the other's (UK's: La. Lafayette, S. Carolina, Missouri, EKU)(UL's Samford, N.C. State,BC, Wake, Syracuse, UVA). Not hard to imagine since only N.C. State has a winning record in D I-A (6-4) and Missouri is 5-5. The rest suck.
The real question is who would flip a loss? Auburn is a mutual bust, so could UK defeat FSU, Clemson or Houston? Probably not. Could UL flip Florida, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Georgia or Vanderbilt? Maybe Vandy. So if UK had UL's schedule they would probably be 5-5 or 6-4 and UL with UK's schedule would maybe be 5-5 but could be 4-6. In other words, both teams are essentially 5-5 teams with the only difference being a bounce here or there.
As we have seen from both the OP and my earlier post, their SOS's are fairly close given this point in the season. The only real difference I see is when in the season each team had their "hard" games. I think this year's game will be a lot like last year's in terms of it being a one possession game.
Actually, if either school played the other's schedule either might be 9-1 right now.
so could UK defeat FSU, Clemson or Houston? Probably not.
Auburn is a mutual bust
Why do you assume we would lose to Tennessee and MSU? Why would you assume that UK would beat anybody besides Samford? Vandy is a "maybe" for UL? Really? You overrate the SEC especially this year. Aside from Bama and possibly UF, the conference has no great teams, though ole miss, MSU, LSU, maybe Tenn qualify as good. UGa is not close to where they were last year.
No two programs are trending in more opposite directions now. Even the famous "eyeball test" UK fans resort to when they realize how uninformed they are, fails. Using any metric we know of, only perhaps Boom is clearly better at any other position at this stage of the season.
OK, lol. I edited this, now. Hughley is certainly inferior to Troth. Hughley, in fact, exists squarely on my last nerve.
Keep in mind Louisville hasn't beaten anyone with a winning record.
This is not completely true, in terms of what you are discussing. UK got them @ home, on a Thursday night, five weeks into the season, and Auburn had just booted their best WR prior to the game.
UofL got them opening day, pretty much in the Auburn back yard, and that kid played against us.
So if you're going to play the silly make-believe game you're playing and flip the schedules, then lots of variables come into play.
False.
UofL beat NC St who is 6-4.
Mizzou has a higher RPI than NC ST as of yesterday.
Why do you assume we would lose to Tennessee and MSU? Why would you assume that UK would beat anybody besides Samford? Vandy is a "maybe" for UL? Really? You overrate the SEC especially this year. Aside from Bama and possibly UF, the conference has no great teams, though ole miss, MSU, LSU, maybe Tenn qualify as good. UGa is not close to where they were last year.
UofL also got them with the QB that was no longer playing when UK played them.
Louisville struggled with Wake, BC, and Virginia so to say Vandy is a maybe isn't that far of a stretch.
Mizzou has a higher RPI than NC ST as of yesterday.
RPI has UofL #38 and UK #88.
Are you going to use RPI as a source for truth?
And UK lost to Vandy so saying UK would lose to Wake, BC, and UVA isn't a stretch either.
The QB UK went against has 1 TD on the year and 2 INTs and a 125 QB rating.
The QB UofL went against has 6 TDs on the year and 7 INTs and a 119 QB rating.
Your point is inconsequential - both the QBs suck.
Furthermore, the guy that played QB against UofL for Auburn started for Auburn in their two best wins on the season @ Texas A&M two weeks ago, and UofL opening weekend.
They also got out to a 31-3 lead against you guys, and no one had ever seen Lamar Jackson play before then.
Your point about who started at QB is pointless.
My points that UK played them @ home, 5 weeks into the season, and without having to go against Duke Williams, cannot be disputed, which is why you didn't dispute them.
The other factor is UK will have all the motivation for that game plus their crowd. That would a tough environment for a really good team. Bottom line Louisville is going to have to play a good game to beat UK.
So Western can beat Vandy but Louisville couldn't? I don't think I'm buying that.
UK at 88 is ranked higher than any of the last 4 teams Louisville has played.
They are stretching to great lengths to "put Louisville down" in this thread, though some are more covert than others. They aren't coming out and saying UofL would lose to Vandy, but they are saying it is possible. Maybe it is. We'll never know.
What we do know is UK did lose to Vandy, WKU did lose to Vandy, and Vandy did lose to a common opponent of Louisville 34-0.
Nobody is propping Louisville to be great here. The thread is a middle finger to all the UK fans that constantly boast about their SOS always being so tough and the UofL SOS always being weak. Given the developments of this season, the thread has merit. There are a couple of respondents in this thread that simply don't like that truth, so they are in spin mode.
We even have a "UofL fan" that posted UK and/or UofL could both be 9-1 if the schedules were flipped - about the most asinine statement I've read on here in quite some time.
If you want to be real, any team can beat just about any team that's outside of the top 10-15 and inside the top 120, if the moons are aligned the right way.
RPI has UofL #38 and UK #88.
Are you going to use RPI as a source for truth?