It's a little insane to me that we've just bought the idea that UofL is a likely 7 seed. That has bothered me for weeks now. UofL SHOULD easily be fighting for a 4-5 seed and should they go undefeated and win the ACCT, should be fighting for a 2 seed (UofL would be 28-6). Right now UofL should comfortably be a 4 or 5.
Some thoughts, using Lunardi's bracketology and looking at Pomeroy and the Net.
For reference UofL is 26th in the NET, 23rd on KenPom, 23rd on Evan Miya.
I get it. Losing to good teams isn't that bad. But at some point winning games has to matter. UK has been flirting with fallout of the top 25 and is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they've not moved off that 3 line. 2 of those losses are to teams that might not make the tournament or at the very least will barely get in. (Ark/Texas). Kentucky is 14 in the Net, 15 on Ken Pom and 20th on Evan Miya. Those metrics say UK should be a mid-tier 5 seed right now.
Oregon is a 5 seed. They are 32 in the net, 34 on Ken Pom, and 39 on Evan Miya.
Michigan is 22 in the Net, 24 on Ken Pom, and 27 on Evan Miya. They should be in the 6-7 range but are currently a 4.
Mich State a 2 with a 13 net. 10 Net, and 10 Evan Miya.
Illinois is an 8, despite having a higher NET than UofL, Michigan, UCLA, Oregon and a number of teams. Why? Because they're 18-11. So the losses do count against them but UK being a 3 with 9 losses and 5 double-digit losses is absolutely fine.
There are a number of rankings that don't make any logical sense.
Some thoughts, using Lunardi's bracketology and looking at Pomeroy and the Net.
For reference UofL is 26th in the NET, 23rd on KenPom, 23rd on Evan Miya.
I get it. Losing to good teams isn't that bad. But at some point winning games has to matter. UK has been flirting with fallout of the top 25 and is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they've not moved off that 3 line. 2 of those losses are to teams that might not make the tournament or at the very least will barely get in. (Ark/Texas). Kentucky is 14 in the Net, 15 on Ken Pom and 20th on Evan Miya. Those metrics say UK should be a mid-tier 5 seed right now.
Oregon is a 5 seed. They are 32 in the net, 34 on Ken Pom, and 39 on Evan Miya.
Michigan is 22 in the Net, 24 on Ken Pom, and 27 on Evan Miya. They should be in the 6-7 range but are currently a 4.
Mich State a 2 with a 13 net. 10 Net, and 10 Evan Miya.
Illinois is an 8, despite having a higher NET than UofL, Michigan, UCLA, Oregon and a number of teams. Why? Because they're 18-11. So the losses do count against them but UK being a 3 with 9 losses and 5 double-digit losses is absolutely fine.
There are a number of rankings that don't make any logical sense.
