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Here's the simple answer to in the playoffs or not

Kratz

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Nov 18, 2001
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There's many scenarios where we can get in, but here's the simplest:

1. Win out, and win out convincingly.

2. Michigan wins out. Drops OSU to 2 losses, keeps PSU out of B1G champ game. Mich beats whomever comes out of the other side of the B1G.

As a side note: Washington losing again would definitely help, but we're already ahead of them. They still have WSU on the road and maybe USC again (if they beat WSU)

If #1 and 2 happen, I think we slide into the 4 spot and get a date with Mighty Bama.
 
The simple answer is, we don't get in. Even at 11-1, we will never win the opinion bowl. The strange thing is, we would be better off if we had lost to a lesser team at home, as long as we beat Clemson. Then we would still be tied and it might come down to a coin flip- it's better odds than we have now.
 
There's many scenarios where we can get in, but here's the simplest:

1. Win out, and win out convincingly.

2. Michigan wins out. Drops OSU to 2 losses, keeps PSU out of B1G champ game. Mich beats whomever comes out of the other side of the B1G.

As a side note: Washington losing again would definitely help, but we're already ahead of them. They still have WSU on the road and maybe USC again (if they beat WSU)

If #1 and 2 happen, I think we slide into the 4 spot and get a date with Mighty Bama.
Washington definitely needs to lose again, because if they win out they will definitely jump us. I think your logic is sound however the single thing that would change it for us would be for Clemson to lose to WF and we go to the ACC title game and win it.

If that happens, wouldn't matter about any other scenario, they could not keep UofL out.
 
I don't think PSU gets even if they win out unless Washington and UL get a 2nd loss. Why?
They lost to Michigan 49-10. Really. We are going to have a two loss team that lost by 39 points in the playoff. They also lost to Pitt, a 4 loss middle of the pack ACC team. No way PSU gets in. Now Wisconsin, I would say that's a good possibility if they run the table.
 
The simple answer is, we don't get in. Even at 11-1, we will never win the opinion bowl. The strange thing is, we would be better off if we had lost to a lesser team at home, as long as we beat Clemson. Then we would still be tied and it might come down to a coin flip- it's better odds than we have now.
Would the cards be better off beating Clemson but losing to a lesser team at home? Only if the loss at home was to a non conference team. If the Cards had lost to say WF, that would still tie Louisville & Clemson in conference play. It was determined early in the season that the tie breaker would be determined by a combination of computer rankings. With Clemson having more top 25 wins in addition to Houston not being ranked they would probably be ahead of us. Can't change the past, only hope that WF can beat Dabo this weekend and the cards paste Houston and hammer UK.
 
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