the big 10 will only get one team in, period. if PSU runs the table they'll have two losees and not get in. If Michigan beats OSU and wins title game, they are in, OSU out with two losses. if OSU beats UM, they are in, big 10 champ will have two losses no matter who wins it besides UM so only OSU in. it's that simple.
1. It'll be Alabama no matter what.
2. Clemson if they win out or Louisville if they win out and Clemson loses any game (if they lose title game ACC winner not in playoff)
3. OSU or UM from big 10
4. Louisville, Washington or Oklahoma (assuming Clemson wins out and is the second spot) depending on who looks best in winning their last games.
so basically if Washington comes out and stomps their next opponents and wins title game they are probably in and we are left out. Small chance Oklahoma does same thing and looks awesome then Washington doesn't look good and we struggle so the committee goes with Oklahoma as they'd be on a roll.
so you as a card fan first you are rooting for a clemson loss so we control our destiny. next you need washington and oklahoma to look weak. and third the cards need to take care of business and act serious instead of laxidasical with the football.