Yes, I haven't argued there was any blue-blood prejudice against U of L. In fact, I'm banking that there may be a bias this year in FAVOR of a high-scoring team with the Heisman trophy winner that's pleasing to the eye...
The argument that the last two years haven't produced a non-champion in the CFP is "brown dog statistics"... "There goes a brown dog; therefore, all dogs are brown." If you understand that to mean I believe there aren't enough data to draw such a conclusion, you're right.
After a rough few weeks, FSU is ranked #11 in the RPI and #10 in the ESPN football power index (FPI). Louisville beat that team while ranked #2 or 3 in most polls by 42 points in a game that the Cards played the reserves in the 4th quarter. No other team in the CFP picture has a win of that significance. The closest would be Auburn's 5-point win over LSU (FPI #8).
Auburn already has two losses and would certainly have to win out for them to be any threat to an 11-1 Louisville. ESPN projects their chances of winning out at 8%.
I like U of L's situation...
