This is going to piss a lot of people off, but the two games this year where Louisville looked completely overwhelmed were against the two SEC teams. However the UK game was the only one where they completely gave up. They fought to the end against Ole Miss. This team was very likeable to me because of their effort for the first 11 games. The UK game was a perfect storm of UofL having its worst game and UK having its best. Guys, it is what it is, which is a blowout and embarrassment, which removes the perception of momentum that the Cards had in the back half of the season where beating up on shitty ACC teams gave false hope.
Serious question - was Louisville UK's best win this year based on FPI/Sagarin/whatever?
I do feel awful for Satterfield. I can't imagine Satterfield saying anything to his staff/team before the game, so I don't blame the result on that. But it's terrible he had literally an hour to grieve before running out on the field to coach against UK. Prayers for Coach Satterfield, hang in there, it's just football.
(This post isn't directed at you Morgantown)
Almost like the entire regular season. We started decent and then midway through the game we'd hit a stride, but then falter at the end when we ran out of gas. We ran out of gas this week.
As we can look, Satt can put up points and dominate teams where we have a talent advantage and keep it close when we're close to another team's talent level. But look at certain games where we got molly whopped the last 3 years.
ND 2019
Clemson 2019
Miami 2019
Kentucky 2019
Miami 2020
Ole Miss 2021
Kentucky 2021
Games where we just needed depth and talent and got blown up by bigger, faster, and deeper teams. We couldn't out run them with speed and strategy like the others, as they all had guys just as fast combined with bigger guys blocking and pass rushing.
In 2019 we had some experienced guys and we won the BC, Wake, & UVA games which could've gone the other way.
In 2020 we're a lot younger and lost the Wake, UVA, & Clemson games that were close late. (And UCF just made 1 more mistake)
The 2020 ND game and 2021 Clemson games were examples of teams that weren't effective on offense and we were able to hold our own for most of the game even at a large talent disadvantage.
But one thing is forsure, we've struggled closing games the last 3 years and you can tell it's just due to being tired and not having top level depth. In 2019, we had some decent upperclassmen that could close the games with their experience and in 2021 we aren't as experienced.
Looking at how we've lost, I think you have to look at some factors and see if they're improving.
The depth and size issues on defense and OLine? Bobby left junk and we're slowly getting better. It wasn't great this year, but I think we all forget how bad it was just 2-3 years ago. The line actually held their own and didn't commit dumb penalties all the time. And guess what? We did it without our 2 best defensive players and we're returning a lot more guys.
I think Tutu, Dez, Becton and Hawkins covered a lot of issues up in year 1. WE lost all that explosion, but overall the depth and balance improved. All the young skill players will be back. The line is solid the next few years. Would like to make sure the QB spot is taken care of, but the issues inherited are improving. We replaced A LOT of production at the skill spots and managed to hang tough and a lot of promise.
So we're a 6-6 team. We return a bunch of players. We trade Ole Miss for UCF that could add a win. Can we flip 2 of UVA, NC State, and Wake Forrest into the win column? If we hold serve on the others, that's easily a 8 or 9 win team and at worst a 7 win team. We flip Duke for Pitt, but they'll be losing their QB. I mean experienced teams GET BETTER. We lost a bunch of tight games. We got killed by 2 SEC teams and one of them will be off the schedule. If success next year is defined by UK being our Super Bowl, then maybe Satt isn't the guy. But I don't see any reason to not think a team that had 4 losses that were 1 possession 4th quarter games won't be more battle tested a year later and flip those into wins?
Now if we lose Malik, that's not ideal. But I'm not down because I didn't have unreasonable expectations of this team. Seriously, if Malik returns, do you think we'll get worse?