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Andy Staples 16 schools with a puncher's chance at a national title in 2024

Pervis_Griffith

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May 29, 2001
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Way to early, but it's nice to be even appearing in this kind of list. Link to the full article and list is below, but I've copied a good hunk of the relevant stuff below.



HOUSTON — Two seasons ago, Washington was 4-8. Three seasons ago, Michigan slashed Jim Harbaugh’s pay and gave him an ultimatum: Get better or else.

Monday night, the Huskies will play the Wolverines in a national title matchup that wouldn’t have taken place five years ago. One or both of these teams might have been able to make the four-team playoff, but at some point they probably would have been smashed by a team that stacked top-five recruiting classes atop one another.

The rapid change in the sport — decried by an old guard that got fat off NCAA rules now being gutted by state legislatures and federal courts — has made it possible for more teams to have a chance to win the national title. Contrary to what the status quo-lovers claimed, name, image and likeness payments and a virtual elimination of the transfer rules have not made the top teams even deeper. They have spread the talent in a more efficient manner.

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And these changes have hit just as the sport is about to make three times as many teams eligible to play in the tournament that determines the national champion.

In other words, 2024 is going to be lit.
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Not every team in the FBS can do what Washington and Michigan have done. But far more can mix the new roster-building and retention to create a team capable of competing for a title than could 10 or even five years ago.
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But the old rules — no paying players and undergraduates had to sit out a year after they transferred — allowed a select few programs to hoard talent.
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Here’s the list for 2024…
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Team Transfer Portal

Ole Miss, Louisville
Louisville ended the season on a sour note, but coach Jeff Bohm has been very productive in the portal sprucing up a roster that showed promise in 2023. Quarterback Tyler Shough, who has played at Oregon and Texas Tech, has had a Penix-like injury history. But Brohm wasn’t the only coach who thought “If he could just stay healthy for one season…” If Shough can stay healthy, perhaps he can take the kind of leap Penix did.
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That’s 16 teams. They won’t all make the CFP. Some won’t sniff a national title for years. But fans of all those teams should feel free to dream this offseason, because any of them could wind up in this game next year.

The list wouldn’t have been nearly as long a decade ago. But the increased hope is the best byproduct of the major changes in the sport.

Even if Georgia still ends up winning it all in 2024.

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