Cards will likely win the first game in the ACCT. 60% shot. Second game is going to be just about which team hits 3's and rebounds. No matter which opponent it is. I'll go with 50% win chance on 2nd game. If the Cards win the first two ACCT games, they will be assured of an NCAAT 6-seed or better. If they win the Championship game, they'll be seeded as a 5. Thats all the committee will give them.
If the Cards lose the Thursday night ACCT game, they'll drop to a 7-seed.
I predict Cards will win first two games by 8 points or less. Whether Reyne Smith plays or not may not make a difference. It's going to be hard for him to return to pre-injury shooting accuracy.
If the Cards win the first two and play Duke in the Final, I don't like our chances. Basically a home court for Duke.
I look for the NCAA committee to really mess with the Cards in the NCAAT matchups. But I strongly feel the Cards can get to the round of 16. This is a very experienced team. Playing well and playing as a unit.
After that I don't think the Cards will be embarrassed. Whatever games they play will be close. They have finished out the games after the 8-minute media break about as well as you can in these last 3 weeks or so. Gritty team.
I think their ceiling is about the final 8. But no matter what, they've given me and our family and friends and all the fans so much to be happy about this year. They rank right up there for me with the 2013 championship team.