So I went through the schedule & wanted to get a good view of where we stand going into the year.
Should Win: EKU
Favorites: Cuse, Duke
50/50 games: NC State, BC, Wake, FSU, UCF
Underdogs: Kentucky, Virginia
Should lose: Clemson, Ole Miss
This season again looks like our last 2 years, a lot of games that could go either way. Not a murderers row, but 10 games against power 5 teams and 11 if you count UCF as a P5 caliber opponent. No more Notre Dame and not team like a Va Tech as a rotating opponent from the ACC.
So let's assume the 3 wins that we expect to win are on the board & then those 4 tougher games are losses. We need to go 3-2 in our 50/50 games to make a bowl. 2019 we beat Wake, BC, and UVA. NC State & Cuse were down after good years. We made plays to win games. Can we do that this year?
This year, we'll have a much better defense. It won't be elite, but it won't be the worst in the NCAA like we were used to seeing. But, we won't have that crazy explosive offense like we've been used to seeing. More balance is the tradeoff. Those early games will determine the kind of year we have, as I believe the offense will probably struggle early but find life as they gain their identity.
The UCF game is probably the most important game of the year. They're a Friday game (WHY?) and the end of a stretch of 3 games in 11 days. We'll start 1-1, so UCF is a game at home against an AAC team we need to beat. They're good enough to win and have a great HC. The momentum from that game matters as, we go to FSU the next week. If we lay an egg and start 1-2 off a stretch where we're beat up, that could turn into a 2nd loss in Tallahassee.
FSU & Wake are the only 2 of the 50/50 games we won last year. Coming off the UCF game, we are on the road at both places in back to back weeks. Those are games we HAVE to win this season. The bowl path I see is EKU,UCF,FSU,WAKE,CUSE,DUKE. Then try our luck to sneak in some upsets. FSU will be better this year & it's a road game. Even a team like Duke can play teams tough, as they're well coached.
My scenario:
Ole Miss-L
EKU-W
UCF-W
at FSU-W
at Wake-W
UVA-L
BYE
BC-W
at NC State-L
Clemson -L
CUSE-W
at DUKE-W
sUcKs-L
7-5 is what I see right now, if we're playing good football. 4-8 is the floor I see for this team, 8-4 is the ceiling.
The 2nd half of the year, after the bye, we'll look a lot better. More experience and better rested. If we can start out 4-2, then we'll be looking at 6-8 wins easily. But starting out 2-4, that would put a lot of pressure on the 2nd half of the year
Should Win: EKU
Favorites: Cuse, Duke
50/50 games: NC State, BC, Wake, FSU, UCF
Underdogs: Kentucky, Virginia
Should lose: Clemson, Ole Miss
This season again looks like our last 2 years, a lot of games that could go either way. Not a murderers row, but 10 games against power 5 teams and 11 if you count UCF as a P5 caliber opponent. No more Notre Dame and not team like a Va Tech as a rotating opponent from the ACC.
So let's assume the 3 wins that we expect to win are on the board & then those 4 tougher games are losses. We need to go 3-2 in our 50/50 games to make a bowl. 2019 we beat Wake, BC, and UVA. NC State & Cuse were down after good years. We made plays to win games. Can we do that this year?
This year, we'll have a much better defense. It won't be elite, but it won't be the worst in the NCAA like we were used to seeing. But, we won't have that crazy explosive offense like we've been used to seeing. More balance is the tradeoff. Those early games will determine the kind of year we have, as I believe the offense will probably struggle early but find life as they gain their identity.
The UCF game is probably the most important game of the year. They're a Friday game (WHY?) and the end of a stretch of 3 games in 11 days. We'll start 1-1, so UCF is a game at home against an AAC team we need to beat. They're good enough to win and have a great HC. The momentum from that game matters as, we go to FSU the next week. If we lay an egg and start 1-2 off a stretch where we're beat up, that could turn into a 2nd loss in Tallahassee.
FSU & Wake are the only 2 of the 50/50 games we won last year. Coming off the UCF game, we are on the road at both places in back to back weeks. Those are games we HAVE to win this season. The bowl path I see is EKU,UCF,FSU,WAKE,CUSE,DUKE. Then try our luck to sneak in some upsets. FSU will be better this year & it's a road game. Even a team like Duke can play teams tough, as they're well coached.
My scenario:
Ole Miss-L
EKU-W
UCF-W
at FSU-W
at Wake-W
UVA-L
BYE
BC-W
at NC State-L
Clemson -L
CUSE-W
at DUKE-W
sUcKs-L
7-5 is what I see right now, if we're playing good football. 4-8 is the floor I see for this team, 8-4 is the ceiling.
The 2nd half of the year, after the bye, we'll look a lot better. More experience and better rested. If we can start out 4-2, then we'll be looking at 6-8 wins easily. But starting out 2-4, that would put a lot of pressure on the 2nd half of the year