Clarity now means these 3 things must happen for Cards in playoffs

[davecmc]

After multiple articles, computer metrics, and future schedule commentary, our chances need 3 things to happen for us to make it in with us winning out, of course. Most sources think we'll be number 7 in about an hour, but that's irrelevant. Whatever our ranking, these 3 things must happen:

1) The Big 10 can only have one team with 0 or 1 loss. Out of the combination of Nebraska, OSU, Michigan, there can only be one team selectable. If there's 2 of them with one loss or no loss, both will go. Mich can easily take care of this by winning out. If OSU wins out, but Mich doesn't lose again, both will make it. If Nebraska wins out, but beats an undefeated Mich in championship game, both would make it. Of course, they will all 3 be playing each other some over these final weeks, but two of them need to get to at least 2 losses.

2) Washington must lose once.

3) Tex A and M must lose once more.

Everything else can swirl around us, but if we finish 11-1 with our lone loss being the highest regarded loss and the above 3 things all happen, our chances go to 95%.

 

[cardinalrod]

After multiple articles, computer metrics, and future schedule commentary, our chances need 3 things to happen for us to make it in with us winning out, of course. Most sources think we'll be number 7 in about an hour, but that's irrelevant. Whatever our ranking, these 3 things must happen:

1) The Big 10 can only have one team with 0 or 1 loss. Out of the combination of Nebraska, OSU, Michigan, there can only be one team selectable. If there's 2 of them with one loss or no loss, both will go. Mich can easily take care of this by winning out. If OSU wins out, but Mich doesn't lose again, both will make it. If Nebraska wins out, but beats an undefeated Mich in championship game, both would make it. Of course, they will all 3 be playing each other some over these final weeks, but two of them need to get to at least 2 losses.

2) Washington must lose once.

3) Tex A and M must lose once more.

Everything else can swirl around us, but if we finish 11-1 with our lone loss being the highest regarded loss and the above 3 things all happen, our chances go to 95%.

And we need to beat the teams in front of us.

 

[fredburgcard]

#7. I just don't see a reasonable scenario where the Cards get in. Texas A&M #4????? They will take two SEZ teams before they take a second ACC team. And if Clemson loses they probably don't take a single ACC team if Washington wins. Hell they probably take a two loss A&M or Auburn over a one-loss Louisville.

 

[tluck28]

And we need to beat the teams in front of us.

We need to kick the sh&t out of the teams in front of us. No more playing around. Our boys need to come out with a chip on their shoulder and beat the rest of these punks down to the ground. Balls to the wall fellas.

 

[Rollem Cards]

Of course the $EC has two.

I mean after all, uk is sec, so it's gotta be good

 

[TheRealVille]

Looks like the guys have no one else to blame but themselves with that piss poor performance against Virginia. I just don't get why these players can't get ready to play any power 5 team. I think the Duke game was explained away as Duke's fault because of their slow ball strategy. The guys felt they were off the hook.

So they didn't come out totally focused against Virginia and it took a TD with 13 seconds to save the season. They knew the first playoff rankings were coming out this week but that wasn't enough motivation. I know I seem a bit harsh but unless you say Virginia is the best 2-6 team in the country, what else was to blame for that result? The Cards let Virginia drive the length of the field down a TD, converting two 4th down plays, one a 4th and 7, and then make the 2 point play look easy as it can be.

The guys should have been focused in the 4th quarter with the game on the line. Are we not as good as we thought? It's a legitimate question. Why haven't we been able to get to the QB? Can't say it Fields injury because he has only two sacks anyway. I hate to think it but it's starting to look like we're a one man team with Lamar Jackson. At least that's the perception now.

Now we have this game against BC. The guys know now that they have to be ready to play like they're playing Clemson. If they squeak by a team led by Pat Towles there isn't enough chaos to get the Cards in the playoff. And not getting to the playoff is not that bad a deal. I want more to see us play the kind of football we know we can play and get a top bowl game in 2017. The ACC schedule has not been good to us this season. Playing Duke and Virginia from the coastal has done nothing but hurt us. NC State sucks like usual. So no playoff this season, but next season could be very different. I'm looking at this #7 ranking as a good thing considering it's the first time we've been in this ranking. Oh that Clemson game how it hurts.

 

[nccardfan]

#7. I just don't see a reasonable scenario where the Cards get in. Texas A&M #4????? They will take two SEZ teams before they take a second ACC team. And if Clemson loses they probably don't take a single ACC team if Washington wins. Hell they probably take a two loss A&M or Auburn over a one-loss Louisville.

A&M's strength of schedule is in the 20's. I think ours is in the 70's and will only drop or stay the same the rest of the season.

 

[jmac1029]

We are going to have to beat everybody left on the schedule by 60 points a game to even get a sniff!

 

[BPGhost]

Lots of scenarios at this point. The only thing for certain is that Joey Galloway is a complete tool...

 

[L'ville posse]

We need to kick the sh&t out of the teams in front of us. No more playing around. Our boys need to come out with a chip on their shoulder and beat the rest of these punks down to the ground. Balls to the wall fellas.

You are so right...come out and pulverize teams like we were doing. No matter the opponent, for the rest of the season be focused and play like we're pissed.

 

[L'ville posse]

Lots of scenarios at this point. The only thing for certain is that Joey Galloway is a complete tool...

Joey Galloway is a complete Louisville hater, and has been all season. He makes me grit my teeth, ugghhh.

 

[Section 12 Jerk]

The committee chair's explanation on why A&M is ahead of UW was strength of schedule. I doubt our margin of victory over Duke and UVa matter much. It's our schedule that's why we are 7th. I still say we just need to keep winning, and let the chips fall where they may. I don't expect us to get in unless Clemson falters big time, but that doesn't change the fact that this is a special season. We keep winning and Lamar is winning the Heisman and we are going to a quality bowl game.

 

[LockdownCard]

Lol we're done.. only thing to look forward to is pounding Uk by 70+.

 

[SchmidtyNole]

I know you guys want to get in. But there are a lot of worse places to finish than the Orange Bowl. That's still a great season.

 

[cantmissprospect]

You guys are going to have a chance to go head to head with the SEC Eastern Conference champs the last game of the year. If you can somehow manage to win that game you will shoot up the rankings, especially after UK spanks Bama in the Championship game.

 

[CardsFirst]

We're far from done. But we weren't dealt the best hand with Houston tanking and Duke should have been a contender if they hadn't lost their starting QB. Add FSU 3 losses which hasn't helped. Oh yeah we didn't play to our abilities against Marshall, Duke, and UVA. But they'll be other loses creating movement. Look at who was ranked in the top 4 last year and especially in 2014. Or the top 7 for that matter

 

[HedleyLamarr]

We just need to take care of our business. Lots of twists and turns yet to come...

 

[American Male]

The committee chair's explanation on why A&M is ahead of UW was strength of schedule. I doubt our margin of victory over Duke and UVa matter much. It's our schedule that's why we are 7th. I still say we just need to keep winning, and let the chips fall where they may. I don't expect us to get in unless Clemson falters big time, but that doesn't change the fact that this is a special season. We keep winning and Lamar is winning the Heisman and we are going to a quality bowl game.

That's ABSOLUTE BS!!!

UCLA 3-5
Prairie View A&M (FCS) 5-3
Arkansas 5-3
South Carolina 4-4
Tennessee 5-3
New Mexico State 2-6

While Washington's Schedule SUCKS, the committee is given A&M credit...TOO Much Credit...For a loss to Alabama, and a win over Auburn!!!

Ohio State should have been ranked 4th in the first committee poll...Followed by Texas A&M, then Louisville!!!

 

[KerryRhodes]

Its not close to being over.

1 A&M loses 2nd game.
2 OSU loses 2nd game
3 Washington loses 1, maybe 2
4 UofL goes 4-0 with AMV of 30 t0 40 plus.

Those 4 things happen and UofL is in the playoffs.

Lots of football to be played.

 

[Cue Card]

Its not close to being over.

1 A&M loses 2nd game.
2 OSU loses 2nd game
3 Washington loses 1, maybe 2
4 UofL goes 4-0 with AMV of 30 t0 40 plus.

Those 4 things happen and UofL is in the playoffs.

Lots of football to be played.

There are a ton of important football games left to be played. 100% agree. I felt the Cards should have been 5th or 6th to be honest, but the cold hard truth is we had control and let it slip away when we lost to Clemson. Win that game and we're at #2 with a great chance of making the playoffs. There is still a chance, but now we need help AND we need to win out with impressive wins.

 

[Morgantown Card]

After multiple articles, computer metrics, and future schedule commentary, our chances need 3 things to happen for us to make it in with us winning out, of course. Most sources think we'll be number 7 in about an hour, but that's irrelevant. Whatever our ranking, these 3 things must happen:

1) The Big 10 can only have one team with 0 or 1 loss. Out of the combination of Nebraska, OSU, Michigan, there can only be one team selectable. If there's 2 of them with one loss or no loss, both will go. Mich can easily take care of this by winning out. If OSU wins out, but Mich doesn't lose again, both will make it. If Nebraska wins out, but beats an undefeated Mich in championship game, both would make it. Of course, they will all 3 be playing each other some over these final weeks, but two of them need to get to at least 2 losses.

2) Washington must lose once.

3) Tex A and M must lose once more.

Everything else can swirl around us, but if we finish 11-1 with our lone loss being the highest regarded loss and the above 3 things all happen, our chances go to 95%.

The problem, as always, is the schedule. The Cards have ONE good victory - Florida State. What's the best victory after that? The ACC has 3 great teams, we beat one, we lost to one, and we can't play ourselves. I go back to what I said earlier - the conference schedule was tougher in mid-2000's Big East. WVU, Cincy, South Florida, Pittsburgh, & occasionally UConn were Top 25. The Cards will finish this season with ONE good victory, it's ridiculous. Even more ridiculous, UK is looking like the marquis OOC opponent as Tom Herman dates other programs right in front of Houston.

 

[cardz4life]

Its not close to being over.

1 A&M loses 2nd game.
2 OSU loses 2nd game
3 Washington loses 1, maybe 2
4 UofL goes 4-0 with AMV of 30 t0 40 plus.

Those 4 things happen and UofL is in the playoffs.

Lots of football to be played.

Yep you mapped it out perfectly. The only fly in the ointment would be Auburn. They are getting alot of love. If they finish strong and beat Alabama, it wouldn't surprise me if they jumped into the top 4.

 

[KerryRhodes]

Yep you mapped it out perfectly. The only fly in the ointment would be Auburn. They are getting alot of love. If they finish strong and beat Alabama, it wouldn't surprise me if they jumped into the top 4.

Auburn has two losses. Theyre not getting in over any 1 loss team.

 

[Morgantown Card]

2) Washington

If I'm Worshington, I'm ready to go to Walmart, buy some blue shop rags, and then go worsh somebody and then lern 'em a good'un. No way does aTm belong in over them.

 

[CardHack]

I'll be honest. I think Washington has every right to be ahead of us and they really have impressed me every time I've seen them play. I think A&M can make a case because they have a high quality road win at Auburn (same as Clemson)...but the rest of their schedule with their wins--most obviously Tennessee--is fading. My problem should be the same problem that those ahead and around of us should have if they're not a Big Ten school...the Committee flat pulled a fast one getting Penn State up to 12 on no merit whatsoever. Loss to Pitt. Blown out by Michigan. One road win in three games at Purdue. Overtime win at home against Temple. THAT has a direct impact on seeding everybody not named Alabama, might impact Clemson because it overinflates in my estimation Michigan's schedule, impacts A&M and Washington by extension because it also overinflates the perception of Ohio State's one loss. Penn State at 12 is counterfeit, pure and simple in my estimation and I'm surprised there isn't alot of outrage from the other non-Big Tenners.

 

[cardz4life]

Auburn has two losses. Theyre not getting in over any 1 loss team.

A&M has 1 loss and is ahead of Worshington. Anything to get two mighty SEC schools in the CFP.

 

[CardFanBudMan]

And we need to beat the teams in front of us.

After multiple articles, computer metrics, and future schedule commentary, our chances need 3 things to happen for us to make it in with us winning out, of course.

that part was covered

 

[wreckcard#22]

Looking back at last years first poll, Oklahoma was 15 and got in the final 4...counter that with Florida who was 10th, won out and finished 12 (lowest of the 1 loss teams).

It's pretty clear this isn't all about conference or strictly w's and l's...it's about who you play and how you play them. The committee is chartered to find who they believe are the best 4 teams, I think it's clear we don't have any more opportunities to showcase that potential and all the other teams around us need to fall apart. Stranger things have happened, but that would be a highly unlikely scenario.

Having said all this, BC has my attention after the performance we put up at Virginia; and IF we get the Orange bowl bid I will be utterly stoked (and pretty smug since I predicted a 1 loss season).

 

[beasleythecard]

Its not close to being over.

1 A&M loses 2nd game.
2 OSU loses 2nd game
3 Washington loses 1, maybe 2
4 UofL goes 4-0 with AMV of 30 t0 40 plus.

Those 4 things happen and UofL is in the playoffs.

Lots of football to be played.

PLEASE LET THIS HAPPEN
+1

 

[L'ville posse]

Its not close to being over.

1 A&M loses 2nd game.
2 OSU loses 2nd game
3 Washington loses 1, maybe 2
4 UofL goes 4-0 with AMV of 30 t0 40 plus.

Those 4 things happen and UofL is in the playoffs.

Lots of football to be played.

We need OSU to beat Nebraska, this wknd, and then Michigan to beat OSU and win the Big...'Bama beats LSU this wknd a nd then later LSU beats A&M...Washington loses to either USC, Cal or WSU, and if we win out in impressive fashion, we are in.

 

[Morgantown Card]

Washington loses to either USC, Cal or WSU

Worshington