Cards remain #57 in ESPN FPI

[PushupMan]

The Cards stayed exactly the same in the ESPN college football FPI rankings (#57) this week, but the win over BC did result in a very slight improvement in our projected win total for the year (up to 5.5 wins over last week’s 5.3).

Here are the rankings of our remaining 7 opponents, with the % likelihood that we win when we play them in parenthesis).

3. Clemson (6.5%)
30. Miami (27.8%)
34. Virginia (44.6%)
42. UK (32.0%)
47 Wake Forest (30.6%)
66. NC State (44.6%)
68. Syracuse (62.7%)

 

[KerryRhodes]

Alright, how do you get half a win ?
Isnt it going to either be 5 or 6 ?

 

[PushupMan]

Alright, how do you get half a win ?
Isnt it going to either be 5 or 6 ?

Definitely ... but at this point we don’t know the outcome of the games we haven’t played yet.

So what you do to get a projection of our final record is to add up the probabilities of winning each of our future games and adding that number to our current win total, like this:

3 wins plus 0.065+ 0.278 + 0.446 + 0.320 + 0.306 + 0.446 + 0.627 = 5.488. Rounded to 1 decimal point, that’s 5.5, and rounded to 0 decimal points it would be 5 wins.

And of course the only game we are favored to win right now is the home game against Syracuse.