I respect Jack Coffee. I think he is a fine journalist and usually insightful in his analysis. But his front page article on CSR is beyond wrong-headed.
In essence, he states that but for the interceptions, fumbles, injuries and penalties, UofL would have likely beaten Auburn. It is a ridiculous argument and one that can be made by any losing team after any game in college football. Alabama hosts MTSU this weekend - after the game, I am sure some ten year old MTSU fan will argue that but for Alabama's 500 yards rushing to MTSU's 22, MTSU would have won the game. Of course!! But in this case, Jack misses the stats themselves.
Interceptions? UofL threw one. Auburn had three.
Penalties? Louisville 5 to Auburn's 8.
Louisville had one significant injury (Quick). I don't know Auburn's personnel well enough to know who may have missed meaningful minutes.
Fumbles? UofL one; Auburn zero.
Auburn won the game the same way every game is won - the team who either makes fewer mistakes or takes greater advantage of the other team's mistakes wins . . . 100% of the time.
It is the difference between teams being bad, good, very good and great. Had Louisville not made the mistakes they made, they would be higher on that scale. Had Auburn not taken advantage of them the way they did, they would be lower on that scale. But, at the end of the day, the reality is Auburn is higher on the scale than Louisville. Hence, Auburn won. In football, the better teams win about 90+% of the time. Sometimes it is pretty; sometimes it is brutal. But the outcome is predictable.
Jack, you are better than that.
In essence, he states that but for the interceptions, fumbles, injuries and penalties, UofL would have likely beaten Auburn. It is a ridiculous argument and one that can be made by any losing team after any game in college football. Alabama hosts MTSU this weekend - after the game, I am sure some ten year old MTSU fan will argue that but for Alabama's 500 yards rushing to MTSU's 22, MTSU would have won the game. Of course!! But in this case, Jack misses the stats themselves.
Interceptions? UofL threw one. Auburn had three.
Penalties? Louisville 5 to Auburn's 8.
Louisville had one significant injury (Quick). I don't know Auburn's personnel well enough to know who may have missed meaningful minutes.
Fumbles? UofL one; Auburn zero.
Auburn won the game the same way every game is won - the team who either makes fewer mistakes or takes greater advantage of the other team's mistakes wins . . . 100% of the time.
It is the difference between teams being bad, good, very good and great. Had Louisville not made the mistakes they made, they would be higher on that scale. Had Auburn not taken advantage of them the way they did, they would be lower on that scale. But, at the end of the day, the reality is Auburn is higher on the scale than Louisville. Hence, Auburn won. In football, the better teams win about 90+% of the time. Sometimes it is pretty; sometimes it is brutal. But the outcome is predictable.
Jack, you are better than that.