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Torvik Predictions On Cards

shadow force

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Jun 8, 2010
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That being said, Bart Torvik is not high on the Cardinals heading into year one of the Kelsey era, ranking Louisville as the No. 89 team in college basketball. They are the fourth-lowest ranked team in the now 18-member ACC, ahead of only Virginia Tech at 96th, Stanford at 98th, Florida State at 121st and Boston College at 147th.

Louisville sports an adjusted offensive efficiency of 109.1, which comes in as the 92nd-best mark in Division I, whereas their adjusted defensive efficiency of 98.8 sits at 88th. Despite bringing in a highly-ranked transfer class, Torvik tabs UofL as the 131st-most talented team in D1 with projected effective talent rating of 21.7.

Put it all together, and Torvik projects Louisville to go 16-15 over the course of the regular season, and 8-12 in conference play.

 
The three most important inputs in Torvik's model are (1) efficiency ratings from the last three seasons, (2) returning minutes, and (3) returning players. We've been terrible the last three years and return no minutes nor players. That's why we're so low.

I see. That's makes sense. With an entirely new coach, staff and team it's almost impossible to make an accurate prediction at this point.
 
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This is the lazy man's prediction and what will be the norm in other polls the closer we get to the season. There will a a few who will assume like the fans do, that these are some damn good, known quality players and the last two seasons at Louisville are irrelevant. They will have UofL ranked or close to it.
 
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That being said, Bart Torvik is not high on the Cardinals heading into year one of the Kelsey era, ranking Louisville as the No. 89 team in college basketball. They are the fourth-lowest ranked team in the now 18-member ACC, ahead of only Virginia Tech at 96th, Stanford at 98th, Florida State at 121st and Boston College at 147th.

Louisville sports an adjusted offensive efficiency of 109.1, which comes in as the 92nd-best mark in Division I, whereas their adjusted defensive efficiency of 98.8 sits at 88th. Despite bringing in a highly-ranked transfer class, Torvik tabs UofL as the 131st-most talented team in D1 with projected effective talent rating of 21.7.

Put it all together, and Torvik projects Louisville to go 16-15 over the course of the regular season, and 8-12 in conference play.

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