I haven't seen much discussion about the recent WDRB hatchet pieces on football attendance. (I'm not linking them, but they're easy to find at the moment.) Hopefully, U of L fans have become pretty skeptical about fake news in the media esp. when it's motivated by a circus clown like Schnatter. You can't just take as is data and draw the conclusions they're making. Too many biases like schedule, weather, etc.
For example, I looked at reported attendance numbers to try to screen out schedule bias. That's best accomplished by only considering teams that repeat on the home schedule, those being the ACC teams and LPT. Going back four years since joining the ACC, there are eight such opponents: Clemson, Boston College, Virginia, Syracuse, FSU, NC State, Wake Forest, and the slapd!cks. The first four were on the home schedule in 2015 and 2017, the latter four in 2014 and 2016. Average home attendance announced by U of L for these eight teams in 2014-2015 was 50,812. For the same eight teams in 2016-2017, it was 49,683. That's an average decline of 2.2% over a period of two years, with each team appearing every other year. The annualized decline would therefore be sl. more than one percent controlling for schedule strength.
I doubt you're going to find anyone knowledgeable on stadium metrics nationally tell you that's a significant or meaningful trend. And that's without further analysis on factors like competing events, time of day or day of the week, weather, or a team's strength in a given year. If you're gonna conclude that fewer U of L fans wanna attend games, all of those factors need to be considered in data that result from an uncontrolled study.
But the agenda with some at the moment is to reflect negatively on the prior regime. We certainly know that's Schnatter's agenda...
For example, I looked at reported attendance numbers to try to screen out schedule bias. That's best accomplished by only considering teams that repeat on the home schedule, those being the ACC teams and LPT. Going back four years since joining the ACC, there are eight such opponents: Clemson, Boston College, Virginia, Syracuse, FSU, NC State, Wake Forest, and the slapd!cks. The first four were on the home schedule in 2015 and 2017, the latter four in 2014 and 2016. Average home attendance announced by U of L for these eight teams in 2014-2015 was 50,812. For the same eight teams in 2016-2017, it was 49,683. That's an average decline of 2.2% over a period of two years, with each team appearing every other year. The annualized decline would therefore be sl. more than one percent controlling for schedule strength.
I doubt you're going to find anyone knowledgeable on stadium metrics nationally tell you that's a significant or meaningful trend. And that's without further analysis on factors like competing events, time of day or day of the week, weather, or a team's strength in a given year. If you're gonna conclude that fewer U of L fans wanna attend games, all of those factors need to be considered in data that result from an uncontrolled study.
But the agenda with some at the moment is to reflect negatively on the prior regime. We certainly know that's Schnatter's agenda...