Over/under on Satterfield's magic number--with an asterisk...

[the artist FKA zipp]

I'm pegging it at ONE and for several reasons that I'll list. This is the number of wins going forward this season to keep his job. Five wins IMO is the 50-50 cut point.

Six means he beats at least one of Wake, Clemson, NC State, or the slappies. Going into the season, those games looked like 1-2 wins were possible. Now, ONE would be an accomplishment.

Six wins get us a bowl invite and the prospect of landing most of the 2023 recruiting class. And I don't think it matters how competitive we are in the losses. It also costs $5 million to go in a different direction.

Like it or not, Satterfield will keep his job with six wins. THIS administration will be satisfied with that outcome pretty much unconditionally.

Five wins is dicey, not a sure thing either way. This is the asterisk on the number 5...

If we prevail against JMU and get overwhelmed in most of the other games, I'm skeptical that a majority of fans won't be calling for Satterfield's head. If we're competitive down the stretch in the remaining games and Satterfield keeps this recruiting class together, odds are he keeps his job with just one more win IMO. Again, I gauge this with the overlay of a $5 million buyout and no money available to pay buyouts.

And I'll 100% acknowledge anyone's remark that a losing season four years into Satterfield's tenure should be unacceptable. We would have been unanimous in that opinion when he was hired. Circumstances have changed however. The stakes are now higher than we expected to dismiss him, and that tilts in his favor...

 

[SpotHogCard]

I only see one win left this season with the rest being decisive losses. I'd love to be wrong though.

 

[sdslba228]

I think he needs six wins and I really think he's going to get there with the close loss to Florida state in the whole whatever happened with Boston College I think he'll get another year that recruiting class coming in

 

[Knucklehank1]

I think 5 wins and he gets canned although timing matters. If he were to lose three straight to end the season (including a big loss to UK) then the level of angst or apathy will be too palpable to ignore. I think 6 wins and he’s definitely back.

 

[rentalman]

I'm pegging it at ONE and for several reasons that I'll list. This is the number of wins going forward this season to keep his job. Five wins IMO is the 50-50 cut point.

Six means he beats at least one of Wake, Clemson, NC State, or the slappies. Going into the season, those games looked like 1-2 wins were possible. Now, ONE would be an accomplishment.

Six wins get us a bowl invite and the prospect of landing most of the 2023 recruiting class. And I don't think it matters how competitive we are in the losses. It also costs $5 million to go in a different direction.

Like it or not, Satterfield will keep his job with six wins. THIS administration will be satisfied with that outcome pretty much unconditionally.

Five wins is dicey, not a sure thing either way. This is the asterisk on the number 5...

If we prevail against JMU and get overwhelmed in most of the other games, I'm skeptical that a majority of fans won't be calling for Satterfield's head. If we're competitive down the stretch in the remaining games and Satterfield keeps this recruiting class together, odds are he keeps his job with just one more win IMO. Again, I gauge this with the overlay of a $5 million buyout and no money available to pay buyouts.

And I'll 100% acknowledge anyone's remark that a losing season four years into Satterfield's tenure should be unacceptable. We would have been unanimous in that opinion when he was hired. Circumstances have changed however. The stakes are now higher than we expected to dismiss him, and that tilts in his favor...

I agree 6 wins get him there unless we are embarrassed by UK again. If we give up 50 to them again he is out. He would totally lose the fan base.

 

[beantowncard]

I think even with 5 wins he stays if the team plays hard (and well) in defeat. The cost of replacing him is too great unless the season completely falls apart.

 

[TheRealVille]

I think it really depends on the recruiting class. I criticize Satterfield like anyone, but I would want him to return if it means signing this class. I mean doesn't all Cards fans want to see these high star dudes in the Ville?

I think if we win 6 games but lose most of this class, he would likely get relieved of his duties.

But I'm a bit more optimistic than most and think the Cards may get to 7 wins.

I think the Cards will be right there with Wake at crunch time and maybe this time we will get the lucky break?

I know, I know. But a man can dream.

Bloom is off James Madison as they have lost twice after getting ranked. Cards will take care of business.

NC State is not worthy of a ranking now that they lost their QB for the season. They play great defense but the Cards at home with some momentum win their 7th game.

And I don't buy that UK is a automatic blowout loss. It could be if we show up 4 and 7 but I think maybe we will be 7 and 4 and the game will come down to the wire.

I have to admit my optimism has everything to do with the defense. Our best wins were due to our relentless defense. I mean it's shocking to think we lead the ACC in sacks and 2nd in TFL.

But I'm also afraid of seeing wide open receivers if our pressure doesn't get to the QB. And I keep thinking Malik is going to find his groove like he has done before.

 

[2330859]

I agree with almost everything RealVille just shared. As far as what it takes in terms of performance to retain or dismiss Satterfield, 6 wins would result in a Bowl Game (TV would embrace seeing Malik) and that would make for a difficult decision to terminate him.

 

[rentalman]

I think it really depends on the recruiting class. I criticize Satterfield like anyone, but I would want him to return if it means signing this class. I mean doesn't all Cards fans want to see these high star dudes in the Ville?

I think if we win 6 games but lose most of this class, he would likely get relieved of his duties.

But I'm a bit more optimistic than most and think the Cards may get to 7 wins.

I think the Cards will be right there with Wake at crunch time and maybe this time we will get the lucky break?

I know, I know. But a man can dream.

Bloom is off James Madison as they have lost twice after getting ranked. Cards will take care of business.

NC State is not worthy of a ranking now that they lost their QB for the season. They play great defense but the Cards at home with some momentum win their 7th game.

And I don't buy that UK is a automatic blowout loss. It could be if we show up 4 and 7 but I think maybe we will be 7 and 4 and the game will come down to the wire.

I have to admit my optimism has everything to do with the defense. Our best wins were due to our relentless defense. I mean it's shocking to think we lead the ACC in sacks and 2nd in TFL.

But I'm also afraid of seeing wide open receivers if our pressure doesn't get to the QB. And I keep thinking Malik is going to find his groove like he has done before.

An FYI, the guy that runs the Premium Recruiting Board is of the opinion that the class will mostly stay intact regardless of whether SS is retained or not because it's being accomplished through NIL. The players are going to show up for the money. That's his opinion, not mine.

 

[Morgantown Card]

I agree 6 wins get him there unless we are embarrassed by UK again. If we give up 50 to them again he is out. He would totally lose the fan base.

Honestly it should be 8-4 because if 8-4 doesn't happen in year 4 it will never happen.

Because of the 2023 class, which I'm not sure the coaching staff had much to do with, I'll reluctantly support keeping him at 7-5.

I agree with you however that he'll get to stay with 6-6, unless his team gets boat-raced by UK again.

 

[OldhamCard335]

The overall record may not matter as much as whom we lose to and by how much. If we crush JMU and a wounded NCSt but get crushed by Clemson and look awful again against UK I think the fan base calls for change will be too loud to ignore. I believe the recruiting class staying intact is a good bet and they may even be more excited by a new coach.

 

[2330859]

Is the ”Premium Site Recruiting Guru” the only one who knows that it is NIL money responsible for this 2023 class? How does this remain a secret when most other schools and player deals are made public?

I am not challenging the accuracy of that report, but if it is an accurate, why has nothing been revealed publicly? As I stated in another thread ……I a truly hope that is the case as it would indicate there are some local folks putting up money to support UL football!

 

[rentalman]

Is the ”Premium Site Recruiting Guru” the only one who knows that it is NIL money responsible for this 2023 class? How does this remain a secret when most other schools and player deals are made public?

I am not challenging the accuracy of that report, but if it is an accurate, why has nothing been revealed publicly? As I stated in another thread ……I a truly hope that is the case as it would indicate there are some local folks putting up money to support UL football!

I have no idea and that's why I said at the end of the post it's his opinion, not mine. Personally, I hope it's something more than NIL money because I find it hard to believe a school like Texas couldn't offer more NIL money than we could and one of our best Recruits (Moore) is going to visit UT.

 

[502Cards1]

You need to beat JMU and NCSt with a backup QB with a offense that has no footing. The question the staff should be asking is how do we hit 7. I think the most likely school they can do that against is this weekend vs Wake.

 

[BooneCo_Card]

It's good to hear the term "slappies" again.

 

[LeFors4Ever]

If we’re 6-6 with big losses to Kentucky and Clemson, he’s gone.

 

[the artist FKA zipp]

I don't think NIL has much to do with whether Satterfield keeps his job. That's unless he--or another coach--is ever the sacrificial lamb for the athletic dept not doing ITS job to bring in that revenue.

He does need to land most of this recruiting class...