College Football Playoff

[Thecycle27]

In many ways it has never been better. We will still probably end up with a Georgia-Ohio State final game which is where we thought we would be Week 1. The playoff plus NIL and the portal as expected has leveled the playing field within each conference. The Big Ten is the only conference where the top is clearly better than middle or bottom. All the other conferences any team can win or lose on a given week.

The talent level inside these conferences is very similar. The biggest change is the gap in talent has been closed. The SEC still has the most talent but within that conference the gap has closed between Georgia-Alabama and the rest of the conference. Big Ten that gap hasn’t closed as much. The ACC the gap has closed. Big 12 every team is the same talent wise.

This is where all the talking heads get data twisted. This game of predicting the best teams is insane. All the talking heads now all have beating podcasts. Their win rate is at best 50 percent. The perception is talent is all that matters but really how do you accurately predict how that talent will perform? You can’t that is why the games have to be played. That is why teams records and losses do matter.

IU has been discussed a lot. They lost to an Ohio State who has the most talent in the country. IU only gave up 300 yards, to a loaded Ohio State offense. The talent difference is significant but game was going into half 7-7 if their kicker didn’t drop the ball. They should be in the playoff but SEC lovers will lose their mind because Alabama may get left out. Who got their doors blown off by Oklahoma. IU won’t get their doors blown off by anyone else in the field. They may even win a game with the right matchup. The committee has to stop playing predicting game when placing teams in playoff. Miami and SMU win out they both should get in. Clemson may get a back door if they beat South Carolina. Which I don’t think will happen but if they do they deserve it more than a three loss SEC team.

The fall out from this past weekend is crazy and exactly how I thought a playoff would impact the game. Teams inside the ACC have an easier path to the playoff and that is a good thing. The SEC willingly created a world where they will eat their own. A NFL playoff model is coming…..watch. Each power 5 conference should get equal AQ’s. Then let the games determine the title winner.

 

[PushupMan]

Great post!

I wish it would resolve the way you describe, but with the SEC and Big Ten in charge, there is no Power5 - there’s only a Power 2. And they’ve already decided that they want 4 spots in the playoffs for each conference, and they will decide by their own tiebreakers which 4 teams go to the playoffs.

Also sounds like for the other 4-6 spots in the playoffs, they are okay with giving those spots to other conference champions and/or teams with the highest W/L records, with an NFL style tiebreaker system. So they are very interested in getting rid of the committee, which has been a lightning rod for criticism - and deservedly so.

 

[Thecycle27]

The SEC and Big Ten may think they can break away but l they don’t understand the value of the other conferences bring to their TV revenue. They split away I have no interest in watching their games like I do today and I love college football. It is a beautiful mess.

Increase the playoff to 16-18 teams with each Power 5 conference team gets 4 teams. I would force ND into a conference and limit it to 16 teams but there are probably legal reasons why they couldn’t do that. Maybe Notre Dame bumps the lowest ranked team. In some years a conference may only get 3. Like this year they would take a 4 loss Louisville team. Have a play in game to include the best non power 5 team. They would play the 16th.

That gives everyone equal representation and all this conference crap is settled on the field.

Texas, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee
Ohio State, Penn State, Oregon, IU
Miami, SMU, Clemson, Louisville
Arizona State, Colorado, BYU, Kansas St
Notre Dame
Boise St or Tulane.

The conference would determine their 4 teams based of their own internal tie breakers.

This as clean as it gets. It also would reward teams for playing a tougher schedule when records are the same. It probably doesn’t change the end result initially but over time there will be other brands developed

 

[beantowncard]

In many ways it has never been better. We will still probably end up with a Georgia-Ohio State final game which is where we thought we would be Week 1. The playoff plus NIL and the portal as expected has leveled the playing field within each conference. The Big Ten is the only conference where the top is clearly better than middle or bottom. All the other conferences any team can win or lose on a given week.

The talent level inside these conferences is very similar. The biggest change is the gap in talent has been closed. The SEC still has the most talent but within that conference the gap has closed between Georgia-Alabama and the rest of the conference. Big Ten that gap hasn’t closed as much. The ACC the gap has closed. Big 12 every team is the same talent wise.

This is where all the talking heads get data twisted. This game of predicting the best teams is insane. All the talking heads now all have beating podcasts. Their win rate is at best 50 percent. The perception is talent is all that matters but really how do you accurately predict how that talent will perform? You can’t that is why the games have to be played. That is why teams records and losses do matter.

IU has been discussed a lot. They lost to an Ohio State who has the most talent in the country. IU only gave up 300 yards, to a loaded Ohio State offense. The talent difference is significant but game was going into half 7-7 if their kicker didn’t drop the ball. They should be in the playoff but SEC lovers will lose their mind because Alabama may get left out. Who got their doors blown off by Oklahoma. IU won’t get their doors blown off by anyone else in the field. They may even win a game with the right matchup. The committee has to stop playing predicting game when placing teams in playoff. Miami and SMU win out they both should get in. Clemson may get a back door if they beat South Carolina. Which I don’t think will happen but if they do they deserve it more than a three loss SEC team.

The fall out from this past weekend is crazy and exactly how I thought a playoff would impact the game. Teams inside the ACC have an easier path to the playoff and that is a good thing. The SEC willingly created a world where they will eat their own. A NFL playoff model is coming…..watch. Each power 5 conference should get equal AQ’s. Then let the games determine the title winner.

This is why there should not be a committee. Objective criteria are all that matter. We need to get opinions out of the process of determining playoff participants. Then we will be closer to an NFL model, which is fair.

 

[Rollem Cards]

Jaded as I am now, last thing I want to watch is watch a rematch of B1G/sec “powers”. Pretty sure 90% of the rest west of the Mississippi (sans Texas) don’t either.

I’ll watch Bowling first.

But that’s just me

 

[2330859]

I would not count out Oregon, or a handful of others this year.

 

[Rollem Cards]

Forgot about Oregon

I’ve truly zoned out.

 

[Thecycle27]

This is why there should not be a committee. Objective criteria are all that matter. We need to get opinions out of the process of determining playoff participants. Then we will be closer to an NFL model, which is fair.

I agree and look what kind of juggernaut the NFL has become. Every game matters but unlike the NFL where there are meaningless games at the end of the year that won’t have in college. The conferences are too balanced. The 3-4 spot in each conference could have 3-5 teams competing for that spot. We are seeing it this year for 2nd place. Correction Syracuse would be the 4th team not Louisville unless they lose to Miami. A lot of Louisville fans would be matching that game.

The talking head focus would have to shift to talking about the actual games. Not idiots predicting-influencing the future.

 

[CardHack]

Whatever does or does not happen, the thought of an SEC school having to play in Happy Valley or South Bend in mid December sort of makes me giggle inside.

 

[Louis III]

In many ways it has never been better. We will still probably end up with a Georgia-Ohio State final game which is where we thought we would be Week 1. The playoff plus NIL and the portal as expected has leveled the playing field within each conference. The Big Ten is the only conference where the top is clearly better than middle or bottom. All the other conferences any team can win or lose on a given week.

The talent level inside these conferences is very similar. The biggest change is the gap in talent has been closed. The SEC still has the most talent but within that conference the gap has closed between Georgia-Alabama and the rest of the conference. Big Ten that gap hasn’t closed as much. The ACC the gap has closed. Big 12 every team is the same talent wise.

This is where all the talking heads get data twisted. This game of predicting the best teams is insane. All the talking heads now all have beating podcasts. Their win rate is at best 50 percent. The perception is talent is all that matters but really how do you accurately predict how that talent will perform? You can’t that is why the games have to be played. That is why teams records and losses do matter.

IU has been discussed a lot. They lost to an Ohio State who has the most talent in the country. IU only gave up 300 yards, to a loaded Ohio State offense. The talent difference is significant but game was going into half 7-7 if their kicker didn’t drop the ball. They should be in the playoff but SEC lovers will lose their mind because Alabama may get left out. Who got their doors blown off by Oklahoma. IU won’t get their doors blown off by anyone else in the field. They may even win a game with the right matchup. The committee has to stop playing predicting game when placing teams in playoff. Miami and SMU win out they both should get in. Clemson may get a back door if they beat South Carolina. Which I don’t think will happen but if they do they deserve it more than a three loss SEC team.

The fall out from this past weekend is crazy and exactly how I thought a playoff would impact the game. Teams inside the ACC have an easier path to the playoff and that is a good thing. The SEC willingly created a world where they will eat their own. A NFL playoff model is coming…..watch. Each power 5 conference should get equal AQ’s. Then let the games determine the title winner.

Agree with 90% of your post, but have to be careful on the 300 yard statement. IU fumbled a punt and OSU recovered on their 5 and OSU ran back a punt. OSU punted twice the whole game, they dominated them! Thats all that I would interject.