538s Interactive Bracket - chances of each team ...

[tn00nan]

moving to the next round. According to this we have almost the same chance of winning it all as Kansas does.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/march-madness-predictions-2015/?utm_content=buffer50100&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer#mens

 

[KRJ1975]

Makes sense. Our road is much easier than KU's is simply for the fact that they have to get through UK to even get to the final four. You see several teams seeded below KU with as much or a greater chance to win because they avoid UK longer.

 

[RockvilleRed]

It also gives NIU a slightly better odd of getting to the sweet 16 than us.