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Super Bowl Predictions Thread

Rams will win it outright.

-- 70-80% of the money being bet in Vegas is going on the Pats. The Book wins big if the Rams win or cover. Conventional Wisdom is usually pretty stupid.

-- 10 of the last 12 Super Bowl and College Football Games, the underdog covered. 9 of those won outright.

Makes you feel good, picking the underdog, right? Well ... in the 2 that didn't cover, the Pats prevailed. --- In the Seattle Seahawks choke job where they decided it would be better to pass from the 1 yard line, instaed of run Marshawn Lynch, who muct have been tired, gashing the Pats D all the way TO the one yard line. ---- And in the Atlanta Falcons choke job, where they gave up the biggest lead in Super Bowl History ... and had they simply run the ball 3 straight times, would have won that one.

But the Rams are uber talented, and more than half of the two weeks since the conference championships, the media and world only discussed Saints got screwed, and NOT about how the Rams deserved that win. That will motivate you to shut up the world.

In the Pats losses in the Super Bowl, Brady was sacked, or rushed, often. Expect Suh and Donald to bring serious heat, after shutting down the running game.

I expect the Rams to win this one outright.

But I guess we shall see.

College Football Recruiting Rankings 2020 & Top 2020 JuCo Football QB at College Football Today

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECRUITING RANKINGS 2020
2020 college football recruiting rankings for high school have now formed our Top 300, and we will be adding many 2020 High School recruits to this list throughout the Spring and Summer at College Football Today. Which brings me to what we believe is the Top 2020 Junior College recruit in the world of College Football Today in former Maryland Terrapins Quarterback Brayden Hawkins, who started for four years at the Varsity level and was a Top 20 prospect out of South Carolina.



The Top 2020 JuCo QB we have located at College Football Today experienced the tragedy at Maryland first hand and soon after left the program to attend NW Mississippi CC. After watching the ball come out of Brayden Hawkins' hand at 6'3, 225LBS, I believe Brayden was severely overlooked in his class as an elite Quarterback and he will be giving East Mississippi Junior College all they can handle in the MS Junior College circuit, as Division One teams flock to Senatobia, MS to see this up and coming gunslinger in action. Brayden choose NW Miss over other well known junior colleges because they return all 5 starting linemen and were 8-2 last year as a up and coming MACJC team. Their only losses last year were to EMCC and Jones CC in the MACJC playoffs, so the addition of the number one 2020 junior college recruit at Quarterback should be able to put them into contention with the returning starters NW Miss has coming back.



DREW LOCK NFL DRAFT 2019

Drew Lock has sky rocketed to what many say is the top quarterback in the 2019 NFL Draft. Drew is a very athletic young man with a 6'3 frame that has general managers like John Elway ready to do whatever it takes to get the young gunslinger out of Missouri. Drew was very impressive at the 2019 NFL Reese's Senior Bowl at impressed many with his undeniable arm strength and leadership qualities needed in a primetime NFL QB. That being said, when I learned more about the characteristics of Brayden Hawkins and the work ethic he exhibits in his process of becoming a big time quarterback, I realized he was by far the Top JuCo recruit in the 2020 junior college recruiting class at the Quarterback position. Watching Brayden back in the 2018 recruiting class, his receiving targets rarely ever have to break stride as he delivers some of the best balls we have seen on tape at College Football Today.


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2019 CFB RANKINGS

Our 2019 CFB rankings will be updated after national signing day and getting a commitment from a Quarterback like Brayden Hawkins will surely help bolster a CFB teams rankings for years to come. With three years of eligibility left upon graduation from NW Mississippi CC, Brayden is looking to break our former Top Juco Recruits passing records set by Arkansas Pine-Bluff Quarterback Shannon Patrick. Shannon will be in contention for the 2019 Walter Payton Award at College Football Today, just as Devlin Hodges was this year and ended up taking home award!


Louisville women's basketball handles Huskies 78-69

What an incredible game, crowd and win down at the YUM! last night. Almost an hour of post-game media room conversation after the Louisville win. Maybe one billion emotions, thoughts and replays racing through my mind still this morning after this one. Getting to sit next to Holly Rowe for the contest. This will be "one for the ages".

For excellent performances, deafening crowd noise, Geno's "one of a kind" post game presser and a win by #3 over #2, let's watch as Dana and Asia launch another three and trot back down court with:

FIVE THINGS ABOUT THIS GAME

5) EXCELLENCE on the hardwood. Make no mistake about it. This was a well-played game. Just 11 combined turnovers. Players on both sides refusing to quit. The Cards shone for a five minute stretch in the third quarter so brightly and delivered the gut-punch that UConn never recovered from. People watching throughout the country and in the downtown arena had to have been impressed with the excellence performed down by the river.

4) ASIA AWAKENS AND THEN SAYS "NITE-NITE". After a scoreless first quarter, Asia was understandably a bit down. No points in the first ten minutes. Jeff Walz looks at her and tells her to smile, be ecstatic because her teammates were holding it together and she should be excited about that. The words worked. 14 second quarter points. Some huge threes followed, three in a row and a huge one in the fourth to push the lead to 11. She is the best player in college women's basketball. Asia doing Asia-type things. Encouraging the crowd to let it loose late in the contest. Durr-riffic.

3) JJ AIRLINES WAS NOT GROUNDED. Jasmine Jones with the double-double of 13 points and 12 rebounds. Four assists. Running the court with confidence, displaying her unique brand of athleticism and hurling the ball into the seats at the final horn. I wonder if they counted that as a shot? Putting the team on her back early, this was JJ's "Super-Bowl" and she did not disappoint.. UConn led for only nine minutes in a 40-minute contest. Jazmine Jones is the accelerator on this finely-tuned Cardinal airplane. Flight cleared for takeoff!

2) THE GENO MONOLOUGES. You owe it to yourself to cue up Geno's post-game comments. Cardinal Couple and others have it linked up. Obviously parched after the game, he pepped-up after a glass of water and went into a revealing, humorous, poignant, sarcastic, stern and relevant post game "Q&A" with a packed media room. I think he was having fun messing with the scribes despite the loss. I don't think he wanted to leave. Talking about how his team "sucked". Goading Walz into continuing the series by calling him a "big baby".. This was classic Geno and no one holds post-game court like him.

1) DANA THE DOMINANT. What a night for the guard from Gary! 20 points, five threes, four assists and blazing by bewildered UConn defenders. Enjoying the party. This woman is your future, Cardinal fans. Get to know her. Marvel at her skills. She was "to the point" post-game, crediting her teammates, the fans and the coaches' game plan. She went toe-to-toe with UConn guard extraordinaire Crystal Dangerfield and proved her mettle. She gets my "player of the game" ...that is, if I can slow her down to accept it.

I'll never forget the Cardinal sequence after a missed UConn three. Jones rebound, down court pass to Durr, who finds Carter with the orb. Arica spotting an open Sam Fuehring. Shot up, shot good. UConn time out. I heard it made Sportscenter's top three. It should have.

This, my friends, is Louisville women's basketball .If you are missing it, you're missing a lot. It's not too late to get involved.

As we were walking out last night, Paulie caught up with Sam Purcell. Sam works with the Cardinal guards and Paulie complimented him on their play. Sam fired right back that this was a team win. Somewhere, the warrior Sam Fuehring (10 points,12 rebounds) is nodding in agreement.

-- Sonja --

UT: Tallest midget in the room

I've never seen a more over rated #1 in my life.

Wins by 9 vs UofL in Nov, arguably their best win. Cruises through the fist half of a laughable SEC schedule ( still hasn't faced UK) but for some reason they're ranked #1. Writers must think this is football season).

Sweet 16 at best once they have to face some real teams at best. Tallest midget in the room playing basketball in a football conference.

NCAA Slams Mizzou with Level 1 Violations Post Season Ban Football, Baseball , Softball

Punishment looks eerily like what happened to UL. Complete with a vacating wins, and siting the school admitting the violations by cooperating the investigation. Even cites the North Carolina case of fighting them, not admitting anything, as to why NC got of the hook, and Mizzou does not. Power 5 needs to leave the NCAA open their own association that has some sense to it's rules.
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What Are Your Hopes/Expectations For The Rest Of the Season?

I realize that there is still lot of basketball left to be played, and that the toughest part of the Card's schedule is still to come in February. I know that anything can happen- good or bad- and that nothing is a guarantee at this point.

As long as the team isn't caught looking too far ahead, it is still fun to do as fans watching from the sidelines. I have enjoyed watching Coach Mack and team so far. It has been a fun season up to this point.

So what are your hopes/expectations for the rest of the season and (hopefully) the post season?

The Bullpen

Gonna try to talk about different areas of the team leading up to the Holidays and subsequently the start of the new season. Seems like forever between the end and the beginning of the next one.

I'm starting here because I think this group holds the key to whether or not the team is good or great. Just my opinion, but looking at other areas of the team, we are solid.

In the other thread we talked about the starting rotation (if the season started today) . Probably Bennett, Miller and Detmers. So, if we take those 3 out of the equation, who's left?...

WBB Cards clobber Clemson 76-44

After less than 40 hours rest, the Louisville women's basketball squad traveled to Clemson, met the challenged and dispatched the Tigers by 32 points. "Jones for three", Kylee power, going 0 for third quarter and other mischief awaits, so let's grab the feline by the tail and "ride the Tiger" (sorry Jefferson Starship) to today's ...

FIVE THINGS ABOUT THIS GAME

5) Why, yes I am a three-point shooter. Jazmine Jones delivered a perfect three-for-three "three" performance from beyond the arc yesterday as part of her game-high 17 points. She was 3 for 10 for the season prior to Saturday. Yes, we were sending up little prayers for success with Coach Walz each time she released a "trey". I'm not sure who was more stunned -- the scorekeeper, Clemson's defense or the Cardinal coaches. JJ Airlines adds a new feature to her flight plan.

4) If you miss it, I will find it. Kylee Shook grabbed a career high 15 rebounds against Amanda Butler's squad. 14 on the defensive end. She's taken to heart the Walz edict to the team "Go get the ball." Toss in three blocks, numerous shot alternation attempts and a couple of steals and you now know why I "think highly of Kylee" after this contest. Walz preaches each player finding their role on the team. Anyone want to guess what the Colorado Springs native's role is?

3) Pretty sure there's still a rim up there. Clemson's third quarter shooting performance was, well, not a thing of beauty. They tried an assortment of 12 attempts. Nothing went in. Figure that they were 3-26 from the floor in the second half and it doesn't surprise my that the local police are actively searching for a missing rim from Littlejohn Arena somewhere on the campus. Credit the Cardinal defense for creating the "failure to successfully launch", yes, but a few of those were wide open attempts that even Mrs. Wilson's fifth grade cagers at Caruthers Elementary consistently make.

2) Full "treys" delivered. Louisville continued to show they are a team to be reckoned from three point range A dozen of them tickled the nets Saturday (out of 25 attempts) and just about everyone got into the nightclub. Dana = 3, Arica =3, Jazmine = 3, Asia = 2 and Seygan Robins found one in the fourth quarter. The fourth quarter was when the bombardment was the strongest, the Cards going 5 for 10 from "outside". By then, the Clemson squad had turned off the "air raid" siren and gone to the bunkers. Shoving instead of guarding. Hands on hips. Searching for a white flag.

1) Runs are good. Louisville used a couple of runs to open this contest up. An 18-0 blitz in the first quarter and 32-6 sprint over the end of the second quarter to midway through the third quarter. The Cards scored 20 points off 17 Clemson turnovers and showed very little sign of "dead legs" after the huge win Thursday. Clemson, on the other hand, depended on 77 "bench" minutes (out of a possible 200). No doubt they were tired after getting pummeled by Notre Dame Thursday. The 24-12 Cardinal advantage in the final ten minutes featured 60% shooting by Louisville.

Bring on Syracuse.

-- sonja --



Why Missouri Football Got the Punishment That UNC Hoops Avoided

Great Article on the incredible irrationality of the NCAA: Missouri Punishment

My Take: Basically if a whole school cheats pervasively it's OK. When a very few players cheat, it's not OK. UNC degrees are worthless shams. UNC should have received the death sentence.

ANDY STAPLES Jan 31 2019 Sports Illustrated (SI)

https://www.si.com/college-football/2019/01/31/missouri-postseason-ban-academic-fraud-unc-basketball

Among the penalties the NCAA’s Committee on Infractions handed down to Missouri on Thursday because a former tutor did classwork for athletes, the most notable and damaging is a one-year bowl ban for Missouri’s football program. This case was a clear violation of the NCAA’s rules, and Missouri officials admitted the misconduct happened.

Sounds pretty open and shut, right? But it never is when it comes to NCAA infractions cases, because the NCAA has yet to prove it can investigate or adjudicate these cases fairly or evenly.

This penalty, which Missouri athletic director Jim Sterk has promised the school will appeal, will have a long tail. Every Missouri football player with only one season of eligibility remaining now is free to transfer anywhere and play immediately—regardless of whether that player has graduated. This could decimate the roster ahead of a season that seemed to have so much promise when Clemson graduate transfer quarterback Kelly Bryant chose the Tigers.

Some of you are probably wondering why that’s such a big deal. The rules were broken. The school admitted it. A penalty was due.

More of you are probably saying this: But what about North Carolina?

That’s because every case the NCAA handles involving academic fraud will now be viewed through the prism of what the COI did to North Carolina for a case involving years of fake classes that had a disproportionate percentage of athletes enrolled. And what did the COI do to North Carolina for years of academic fraud that helped the Tar Heels’ teams?

Nothing.

This column won’t re-litigate that case, nor will it bash North Carolina for its defense in that case. In fact, UNC’s defense was brilliant. The NCAA doesn’t have a rule against having an entire department full of fake classes that is open to every student on campus. The NCAA’s enforcement staff tried to accuse UNC of giving athletes “extra benefits,” which was incredibly stupid because the NCAA’s definition of an extra benefit is basically “something that isn’t available to the entire student body.” The classes were available to the entire student body. It’s an airtight defense, and it worked. Members of the COI—who work for schools and conferences—knew they couldn’t punish UNC because if UNC sued in real court, the verdict from the NCAA’s kangaroo court would never hold up.

The members of the COI who handled the Missouri case pointed out this difference in the report they released Thursday.

“The conduct at issue in this case is also distinguishable from the COI's decision in University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (2017). Among other differences, UNC stood by the courses and the grades it awarded student-athletes. In support of that position, UNC asserted courses were created and graded by an office secretary, student-athletes completed their own work. Here, by contrast, Missouri acknowledged that the tutor completed student-athletes’ work and, in most instances, this conduct violated its honor code.”

This is a massive cop-out that also happens to be 100% accurate. The NCAA never has and never will be in the business of judging an individual curriculum (at the college level; the NCAA is quite judgmental when it comes to high school coursework) and will leave that sort of thing to the accrediting agencies.

But this logic does nothing to satisfy rational, logical individuals who see this relative flea getting swatted with a sledgehammer while the elephant wanders away unscathed. It also does nothing to contradict the public image of the NCAA as a capricious steward that seems fundamentally incapable of applying its brand of justice fairly.

NIESEN: The NCAA Is Hitting Missouri Hard at the Worst Possible Time

Twelve years ago, Florida State was found guilty in an academic fraud case involving 61 athletes, 23 of them football players, who were given the answers to a test. The football program lost scholarships and had to vacate wins. Like Missouri on Thursday, Florida State officials decried the punishment as too harsh. But that was because it affected Bobby Bowden’s official win total. It didn’t affect the bottom line because there was no bowl ban. A case more similar to Missouri’s wrapped last year at Notre Dame. In that case, the COI found that an athletic trainer had helped two football players commit academic fraud and had provided six other players with impermissible benefits. The Irish were forced to vacate wins from 2012 and 2013, but they didn’t face a postseason ban. In both those cases, just as in the Missouri case, the schools admitted the rules had been broken.

But neither Florida State nor Notre Dame were slapped with a postseason ban. Missouri got one in football, baseball and softball in this case. The football postseason ban in particular could cost Missouri millions and could affect the program for years. Based on what Ole Miss is expected to lose from its SEC revenue distribution for being banned from a bowl this past season (about $8 million, with $4 million due back to Ole Miss if it has no trouble for five years), this could be a very expensive financial penalty for a case that looks similar to others that didn’t generate as harsh a penalty. The effect on the roster could be worse. If a large group of seniors leaves to play elsewhere, the Tigers will get creamed this year. That will affect recruiting for the classes of 2020 and ’21. Vacating wins that can easily confirmed on YouTube has nowhere near the effect causing a season of futility does. The NCAA will point out that Missouri is being punished as a repeat offender, but the most recent major infractions case involving Missouri wrapped in 2016 and involved men’s basketball. The tutor in the recent case also was found to have helped a men’s basketball player commit academic fraud, but that program did not receive a postseason ban. So because the COI was still mad about what Missouri basketball did years ago, it chose to hand down a tougher penalty to Missouri ... football?

Those final few sentences explain why the NCAA’s justice system is so frustrating to athletes, coaches and fans. In real court, defendants cut plea deals all the time. But prosecutors in a jurisdiction try to keep the punishments consistent. The COI—which has a constantly changing membership—rarely delivers consistent punishments. All three of the schools mentioned above cooperated with the NCAA in cases with similar circumstances. Only one got the NCAA equivalent of jail time.

None of this will ever change unless the schools—which make the NCAA’s rules and set up the NCAA’s disciplinary process—demand a change and then make that change. By their unwillingness to make any meaningful change, we should assume the schools are perfectly happy with a system that feels as if it doles out punishments by throwing darts at a board.

The people at the schools are the only ones who can effect change. And they don’t seem to care until they’re on the business end of a penalty that feels chosen at random.

SEC announces 2017-18 revenue distribution

SEC announces 2017-18 revenue distribution
Quote:Commissioner Greg Sankey announced Friday that approximately $627.1 million of total revenue was divided among the 14 institutions of the Southeastern Conference for the 2017-18 fiscal year, which ended August 31, 2018.

The total includes $604.1 million distributed from the conference office, as well as $23.0 million retained by institutions that participated in 2017-18 football bowl games to offset travel and other related bowl expenses.

The average amount distributed from the conference office, excluding bowl money retained by participants, was slightly over $43.1 million per school.
http://www.secsports.com/article/2590024...stribution

Access to mental health services guaranteed by P5

Also: P5 conferences also commit to change agent rules by January 2020

https://www.ncaa.org/about/resource...alth-services-guaranteed-autonomy-conferences

Big Changes are Starting:

Student-athletes in the Division I autonomy conferences (P5) are guaranteed access to mental health services and resources under legislation adopted unanimously by the Atlantic Coast, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12 and Southeastern conferences at the 2019 NCAA Convention.

The rule change is the latest move to improve the college experience for student-athletes and underscores the commitment to all aspects of student-athlete health.


The legislation requires all schools to make mental health services and resources available through the athletics department or the school’s health services or counseling services department. In addition, schools must distribute to student-athletes mental health educational materials and resources, including a guide to the mental health services and resources available at the school and information about how to access them.

The proposal was sponsored by the Pac-12 Conference. Erik Price, associate commissioner for compliance, introduced the proposal.

“This is the No. 1 issue facing our student-athletes on campus today. There is no school in this room that hasn’t already recognized this,” Price said. “Creative solutions are popping up everywhere, including from student-athletes who are destigmatizing anxiety, depression and other disorders that are so prevalent on our campuses. … We’d like to put in the manual, etch into it, a commitment to these services.”

Kayla Ellis, a student-athlete who competes in women’s volleyball at Oregon State, concurred.

“Just as important as physical well-being is mental well-being,” she said. “There are a lot of pressures that come along with sports, and this is … important to move us forward.”

The rule will take effect Aug. 1.

Additionally, team meetings now are allowed during the week immediately following the season, which previous legislation required to be free of athletically related activities. This change is effective immediately.

The autonomy conferences also adopted a resolution committing to bring forward specific legislative proposals that will redefine agent and advisor rules to assist student-athletes with career planning and decision making.

The resolution also committed the conferences to work collaboratively with the rest of Division I, including the Division I Council and other relevant organizations, to bring forward legislative proposals regarding tryouts with professional teams, and proposals in any other area of legislation applicable to the career planning.

“As we modernize rules in this area we want to help students, not hurt them by creating eligibility traps,” said Chad Hawley, associate commissioner at the Big Ten Conference. All five conferences sponsored the resolution.


The resolution committed the conferences to sponsoring and adopting legislation in these areas by the 2020 NCAA Convention.

Proposal. Source. What would change? Action
2018-110 — Meals for GA in women’s rowing and swimming and diving. Atlantic Coast Conference. For graduate assistant coaches in women’s rowing and swimming and diving, would replace training table meals with meals incidental to organized team activities. Adopted, 65-0-5. Effective Aug. 1, 2019.

2018-111 — Replace “relatives” and “parents or legal guardians” with “family members.” Atlantic Coast Conference. Would replace the terms “relatives” and “parents or legal guardians” with “family members” in all autonomy provisions. Adopted, 69-0-1.

2018-112 — Housing and meals during required summer athletic activities for student-athletes not enrolled in summer school. Big 12 Conference. Would allow schools to provide room and board to incoming student-athletes participating in required summer athletic activities before initial summer school enrollment and to student-athletes participating in summer activities who aren’t enrolled in summer school. Adopted, 62-16-2. Effective immediately.

2018-113 — Housing and meals during required summer athletic activities before enrollment. Big Ten Conference. Would allow schools to provide room and board to incoming student-athletes participating in required summer athletic activities before initial summer school enrollment. Rendered moot by the Division I Council’s adoption of 2018-42.

2018-115 — Game tickets during official visits. Southeastern Conference. Would reduce, from six to five, the maximum number of free home game tickets a prospective student-athlete can receive during an official visit. Adopted, 57-12-1. Effective Aug. 1, 2019.

2018-116 — Game tickets during unofficial visits. Big 12 Conference. Would allow schools to reserve tickets in addition to the maximum number of free tickets for the use of additional people with a prospective student-athlete on an unofficial visit. The tickets would be offered at face value. Adopted, 62-7-1. Effective Aug. 1, 2019.

2018-117 — Parking on unofficial visit. Atlantic Coast Conference. Would allow schools to arrange for special parking on unofficial visits. Defeated, 47-23-0.

2018-118 — Requiring access to mental health services. Pac-12 Conference. Would require schools to provide student-athletes access to mental health services. Adopted, 80-0-0. Effective Aug. 1, 2019.

2018-119 — Omega-3 Fatty Acids. Big 12 Conference. Would allow schools to provide omega-3 fatty acids to student-athletes. Adopted, 70-0-0. Effective immediately.

2018-120 — Team meetings during the seven-day required break from athletically related activities after a season ends. Atlantic Coast Conference. Would allow a team to have an end-of-season team meeting during the required week off from athletically related activities, provided no countable athletically related activities occur. Adopted, 62-18-0. Effective immediately.

R-2018-1 — Commitment to bring forward legislation related to agents. Atlantic Coast, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12 and Southeastern conferences. Commits the conferences to bringing forward legislation changing amateurism rules related to engagement with agents by the 2020 NCAA Convention. Adopted, 74-2-4.
  • Passage of a proposal, amendment or other motion requires at least a majority of yes votes from three separate conferences in combination with at least 48 yes votes from student-athlete delegates and school voters, or a majority of four separate conferences, along with at least 41 yes votes from student-athletes and school voters.
  • An abstention has the same effect as a “no” vote in calculations toward a majority of conference members.
Media Contact
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Brutlag Hosick
Associate Director of Public and Media Relations
NCAA
mhosick@ncaa.org
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